Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Family Feud

h/t: Foreign Policy

Prince Khaled of Saudi Arabia accused Prince Walid bin Talal [1] of disseminating vice and violating the rules of Islamic Sharia in the conservative kingdom. [lol]

Prince Khaled said he had been forced to speak out after quiet efforts to advise his brother to mend his ways had fallen on deaf ears.

Prince Walid, known for his liberal lifestyle, owns a media empire which features entertainment channels that have long angered conservative Saudis.

Prince Khaled, told an Arabic website that his brother's plan to introduce cinema into Saudi society was the straw that broke the camel's back.

h/t: Foreign Policy

Family Feud: "September"

Notes: [1] Prince Al-Walid bin Talal a.k.a. Prince Al-Walid, is a member of the Saudi Royal Family (as is Prince Khaled), and an entrepreneur and international investor. He has amassed his fortune through investments in properties and the Stock Market. As of 2007, his net worth is estimated at US$50.5 billion, according to the Arabian Business rich list published December 2, 2007. He is ranked by Forbes as the 9th richest person in the world, and is the second richest man in royalty next to the Sultan of Brunei. He has been nicknamed by Time magazine as the Arabian Warren Buffett. -- Watch the video links posted in the princes' names, for lol.

Was Skynet just conceived?

Prelude: What would you do with virtually limitless computing power?

Integer factorization is believed to be computationally infeasible with an ordinary computer for large integers that are the product of only a few prime numbers (e.g., products of two 300-digit primes). By comparison, a quantum computer could efficiently solve this problem using Shor's algorithm to find its factors. This ability would allow a quantum computer to "break" many of the cryptographic systems in use today, in the sense that there would be a polynomial time (in the number of digits of the integer) algorithm for solving the problem. In particular, most of the popular public key ciphers are based on the difficulty of factoring integers (or the related discrete logarithm problem which can also be solved by Shor's algorithm), including forms of RSA. These are used to protect secure Web pages, encrypted email, and many other types of data. Breaking these would have significant ramifications for electronic privacy and security. The only way to increase the security of an algorithm like RSA would be to increase the key size and hope that an adversary does not have the resources to build and use a powerful enough quantum computer. -- Wikipedia

~ ~ ~

Chapter 1: A Processor is Born

Scientists Create First Working Model of a Two-Qubit Electronic Quantum Processor

A team led by Yale University researchers has successfully implemented simple algorithms using a quantum processor based on microwave solid-state technology--similar to that found in computers and cell phones. The new processor is far from conventional, however, in that it uses the potent power of quantum mechanics to bring the dream of quantum computing a small but significant step closer to reality.

The work was supported in part by the Yale Center for Quantum and Information Physics (CQUIP), funded by a grant from the National Science Foundation's Division of Materials Research and Division of Physics, and by the Army Research Office and National Security Agency. The findings were published online in the June 28 issue of Nature.

"This result is an important step forward towards all-electronic quantum information processing," said Wendy Fuller-Mora, program director for the NSF Division of Materials Research/Condensed Matter Physics.

"Our experiment can only perform a few very simple quantum tasks, which have been demonstrated before using other systems such as photons, trapped ions, and nuclear magnetic resonance," said Robert Schoelkopf, a principal investigator and professor of applied physics and physics at Yale. "But this is the first time it has been done in an all-electronic device, which looks and feels much more like a regular microprocessor."

The team used artificial atoms as quantum bits, or qubits. Although made from over a billion aluminum atoms in a superconducting electronic circuit, these qubits behave as single atoms. The difference is that the manufactured atoms are much larger and therefore easier to control than single atoms or other types of qubits.

Just like a single atom, an artificial atom can be stimulated into different energy states, akin to the "on" and "off" states of the bits in conventional computers. But following the counterintuitive laws of quantum mechanics, the scientists can also place these artificial atoms in "superpositions" of quantum states-both "off" and "on" at the same time. This wider variety of possible states allows for greater information storage and processing power.

As an example, imagine searching through a set of four phone numbers, including one for a friend, without knowing which number belonged to the friend. "It's like being able to place one phone call that simultaneously tests all four numbers, but only goes through to the right one," Schoelkopf said.

To perform this kind of "reverse phone book" search, the scientists used logic gates made from two qubits, which communicated with one another using a "quantum bus" design previously developed by members of the team.

"We had done some earlier experiments that connected two artificial atoms in a resonant cavity bus, which is basically a microwave transmission wire," said Schoelkopf. "The setup is analogous to two hydrogen atoms held between shiny mirrors--when they emit an ultraviolet photon, it bounces back and forth between the mirrors. In the same way, a microwave photon bounces back and forth between the two qubits, transmitting information to each other along the bus."

"The success of the experiment relied on integrating three previously demonstrated capabilities " said Leonardo DiCarlo, lead author of the Nature paper.

According to DiCarlo, the key building blocks included: local tuning of qubits on nanosecond timescales, which enabled the researchers to switch the interaction between the qubits "on" and "off" abruptly; a joint readout scheme that efficiently details two-qubit correlations; and state-of-the-art coherence times of about 1 microsecond for both qubits.


(a) Interferometric cz gate. Gate operation is enabled by transforming each qubit from polarisation to spatial encoding, and back again. This requires high interferometric stability and spatio-temporal mode-matching for correct operation. -- (b) Partially-polarising beam splitter (PPBS) gate. Thequbits can remain polarisation-encoded, since thevertically-polarised modes are completely reflected by the first PPBS, and do not interact. Nonclassical interference occurs between the horizontally-polarised modes, with η=1/3. The subsequent PPBSs give the required losses in the cV and tV modes as shown in (a). -- source


"There have been several earlier instances of two-qubit logic gates, but to do a quantum computation, you need to be able to control single qubits, and you also need to be able to make two qubits interact," said Schoelkopf. "With this experiment we don't just operate one gate; we string together 10 one-qubit gates and 2 two-qubit gates."

Solving simple problems such as the reverse phone book search using solid-state qubits hasn't been possible until now, in part because scientists couldn't make the qubits coherent for long enough to get to the solution. But with their quantum bus design, the team was able to keep the qubits stable for up to a microsecond.

"Both qubits in the two-qubit gates have to work at the same time, so you have to be able to reliably make two qubits with long coherence times," added Steve Girvin, co-author of the paper and co-principal investigator. We used a charge-based qubit, which normally would be sensitive to electrical noise. But we developed one that stays insensitive to noise for a long time, up to 3 microseconds."

"There's a tension between using larger-scale manmade systems like ours as qubits, which are easier to make, test and control, versus using individual atoms, which stay coherent longer, but are much more difficult to couple together in complex ways," said Schoelkopf.

"But there's an advantage to using a superconducting circuit, which is all controlled electronically," he said. "The goal is to make a scalable device, with thousands and thousands of qubits working together. This is still a long way off, but the idea of using standard integrated circuit technology makes it easier to imagine that it might be possible someday."

Although the quantum processor itself must be kept just above absolute zero in order to maintain the superconducting properties of the circuit, DiCarlo said that the rest of the system looks like a typical processor, with only wires going into the system and wires coming out.

But Schoelkopf cautions it will still be some time before solid-state quantum computers become the industry standard. "The work we have ahead in the future is one of continuing to improve coherence times and increasing the number of qubits in the register, knowing that the power of the processor will grow exponentially with each added qubit," he said.

"I'm relatively optimistic that we should be able to combine three or more qubits soon," Schoelkopf said. "But to make a system which will actually perform computations on your laptop would take a thousand qubits. It's hard to see that far into the future, but this experiment is a significant step forward."

Other authors of the paper include Jerry M. Chow, Lev Samuel Bishop, Blake Johnson, David Schuster, Luigi Frunzio (all of Yale University), Jay Gambetta (University of Waterloo), Johannes Majer (Atominstitut der Österreichischen Universitäten) and Alexandre Blais (Université de Sherbrooke). -- National Science Foundation -- Press Release with Links

Merry Christmas, Ahmadinejad!


He's making a list.



Checking it twice.



Gonna find out who's naughty and nice.



Twelfth Imam is coming to town!


Oh, you'd better watch out...



A Caliphate of Toxic Assets

Excerpt from article [with links] by Alyssa A. Lappen for FrontPage Magazine.

In July, Hizb Ut Tahrir [an international pan-Islamist, Sunni, political party whose goal is to combine all Muslim countries in a unitary Islamic state or caliphate, ruled by Islamic law] plans to launch its U.S. arm with a huge Chicago [Where else?] “Khalifah conference” heralding the coming Caliphate and global Islamic supremacism. After 9/11, Germany and Sweden outlawed Hizb Ut Tahrir. In July 2005, Pakistan's then-president Pervez Musharaf warned Britain not to tolerate its continued U.K. presence. But in the U.S., Hizb Ut Tahrir has proudly announced intentions to replace capitalism with Islam.

Founded five years into Jordan's illegal occupation of East Jerusalem in 1953, Hizb Ut Tahrir labels itself “peaceful” but strategically objects to violence only for the time being. The group sympathizes with the Muslim Brotherhood, considers Europe's democracies “a farce” -- and deems the U.S., UK, and Israel works of “the devil” -- and seeks to impose Islamic law (Shari'a) worldwide.

Major banks from Citigroup, HSBC, Chase, Bank of America and Lloyds TSB -- probably unaware of the etymology of Islamic finance -- established subsidiaries offering Shari'a-compliant products. Mutual funds at Principal Financial Group, UBS, Amana Funds and SEI Investments, among others, followed suit. [Slowly selling America's children and grandchildren into slavery... IMO, traitors all.] Especially late last year as the devastating toll of sub-prime mortgage lending mounted, clients were assured that Islamic banking -- in many respects a dangerous financial fad -- was much safer than other banks and investment houses.

“Islamic banking is in the toxic derivatives genre,” says Columbia MBA Joy Brighton. Each counter-party agreement within its complex “boxes” of interwoven counter-party risks, is a contract for “payment” and “delivery/receipt of funds.” Issuers create derivatives when they “peel off and resell pieces” from individual securities containing multiple counter-party contracts. One default by a party to any of the interwoven contracts in a “box” can cause its whole structure to collapse.

Moreover, Islamic finance is doubly toxic. Many banking corporations have created Islamic subsidiaries, says Brighton -- segregated oil wealth managed by “outside money managers” and Islamic radicals who don't circulate money globally, but keep it “within the Islamic community, as a charity- and jihad-funding mechanism.” They're just another economic time bomb that financiers have blindly bought. -- ###

Alyssa A. Lappen is a former Senior Fellow of the American Center for Democracy, former Senior Editor of Institutional Investor, Working Woman and Corporate Finance, and former Associate Editor of Forbes. Her website is www.AlyssaaLappen.org.

Monday, June 29, 2009

Obama Blasted on Honduras Developments: "Shame on You"

Obama Blasted on Honduras Developments: "Shame on You"

Power-mad Honduran President Manuel Zelaya was peacefully replaced by Interim President Roberto Micheletti following Zelaya's illegal attempt to rewrite the nation's constitution so as to extend his term-limited 4 years in office.

Zelaya had lost the confidence of the other two branches of government, his populace and Honduras' law-enforcement units.

The Honduran Congress said that Interim President Micheletti will serve out the remaining 7 months of Zelaya's term.

Zelaya is widely regarded as a stooge for Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez. It is unclear whether Chavez or other international leaders will seek to usurp -- or 'meddle in,' to use a Barack Obama phrase -- the affairs of the sovereign Honduran nation.

Obama has steadfastly chosen not to meddle in the election in Iran, so any interference in Honduras' affairs will be properly viewed as hypocritical.

BBC: New Honduran leader sets curfew

WSJ: Honduras Defends Its Democracy

UPDATE: Zelaya accused of drug ties

Iraqis take control at midnight, fears remain

U.S. soldiers and Iraqi police leave their base for their last joint patrol in Khan Bani Saad, Iraq, ahead of Tuesday's deadline for the American pullback. Photo by Agence France-Presse.

Iraqi officials formally take control of the cities at midnight, a handover that filled many citizens with pride but also trepidation that government forces are not ready and that violence will rise.

Shiites fear more bombings by Sunni militants; Sunnis fear that the Shiite-dominated Iraqi security forces will give them little protection. [Red spray-painted X’s have shown up overnight on several Sunni homes.] American troops fear that the 650,000-member Iraqi military is not ready to maintain stability and deal with a stubborn insurgency. -- CBS News

The challenge for the Iraqis is immense.

Air Assault Mission - Iraqi national police officers run inside a CH-47 Chinook helicopter after completing Operation Winged Lion II, an Iraqi-led air assault clearance operationin the Ma’dain region outside eastern Baghdad, Iraq, June 26, 2009. More than 240 Iraqi police and U.S. Army soldiers conducted the mission to deny enemy movement into the city, collect intelligence and search for weapons caches. U.S. Army photo by Sgt. 1st Class Alex Licea.

US forces set to leave Iraq cities

So Sorry, Sonya

So sorry, Sonya. Seems you're not Supreme Court caliber after all...

US Supreme Court Reverses Radical Barack Obama Nominee Sonia Sotomayor [FOX News]

Court Rules for White Firefighters in Discrimination Case

The Supreme Court ruled Monday that a group of white firefighters in Connecticut were unfairly denied promotions because of their race, reversing a decision endorsed by high court nominee Sonia Sotomayor.

In the high-profile, controversial case, white firefighters in New Haven, Conn., argued they were discriminated against when the city tossed out the results of a promotion exam because too few minorities scored high enough on it.

"The city's action in discarding the tests violated (federal law)," the Supreme Court majority wrote Monday, adding that the city's "race-based rejection of the test results" could not be justified.

The city argued its action was prompted by concern that disgruntled black firefighters would sue. But that reasoning didn't hold sway with the court's majority.

"Fear of litigation alone cannot justify the city's reliance of race to the detriment of individuals who passed the examinations and qualified for promotions," the court ruled. -- FOX News

Sonia Sotomayor Doesn't Deserve a Promotion

Read the full Supreme Court ruling (PDF)

WSJ: Decision Reflects Court's Deep Division

A concurring opinion from Justice Samuel Alito, joined by Justices Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas, effectively accused New Haven's leadership of pandering to a local black political leader in throwing out the test results. Notably, Chief Justice Roberts didn't join that toughly worded opinion.

Anybody Seen Our Gold?

The gold reserves of the United States have not been fully and independently audited for half a century. Now there is proof that those gold reserves and those of other Western nations are being used for the surreptitious manipulation of the international currency, commodity, equity, and bond markets.

The Federal Reserve’s general counsel, J. Virgil Mattingly, acknowledged as much when he told the Federal Open Market Committee on January 31, 1995, that the Treasury Department’s Exchange Stabilization Fund had undertaken gold swaps.

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan acknowledged as much in testimony to Congress on July 24, 1998, when he said that “central banks stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities should the price rise.”

Barrick Gold Corp. acknowledged as much in a filing in U.S. District Court in New Orleans on February 28, 2003, asserting that the mining company was the instrument of the central banks in shorting the gold market.

The Bank for International Settlements acknowledged as much on June 27, 2005, when the head of its monetary and economic department, William S. White, declared at a convention of central bankers in Basel, Switzerland, that a major purpose of international central bank cooperation is “the provision of international credits and joint efforts to influence asset prices — especially gold and foreign exchange.”

Since last May the U.S. Treasury Department’s weekly report of the government’s international reserve position has cited loans and swaps from the U.S. gold reserves.

Since 2004 four major international investment houses — Sprott Asset Management, Cheuvreux, Citigroup, and Redburn Partners— have issued reports stating that Western central banks have been manipulating the gold market.

The objective of this manipulation is to conceal the mismanagement of the U.S. dollar so that it might retain its function as the world’s reserve currency. But to suppress the price of gold is to disable the barometer of the international financial system so that all markets may be more easily manipulated. This manipulation has been a primary cause of the catastrophic excesses in the markets that now threaten the whole world.

Gold’s recent rise above $900 per ounce shows that the price suppression scheme is faltering. When it is widely understood how central banks have been suppressing gold, its price may rise to $3,000 or $5,000 or more. -- GATA

Watch gold at www.24KT.us

Disclaimer: covertress holds no positions.

Sunday, June 28, 2009

Whose side are we on?

Documents gathered by lawyers for the families of Sept. 11 victims provide new evidence of extensive financial support for Al Qaeda and other extremist groups by members of the Saudi royal family, but the material may never find its way into court because of legal and diplomatic obstacles.

The case has put the Obama administration in the middle of a political and legal dispute, with the Justice Department siding with the Saudis in court last month in seeking to kill further legal action. Adding to the intrigue, classified American intelligence documents related to Saudi finances were leaked anonymously to lawyers for the families. The Justice Department had the lawyers’ copies destroyed [!] and now wants to prevent a judge from even looking at the material.

The Justice Department said a 1976 law on sovereign immunity protected the Saudis from liability and noted that “potentially significant foreign relations consequences” would arise if such suits were allowed to proceed. -- The New York Times

UPDATE: SCOTUS Denies 9/11 Families Appeal Without Comment

Three Dishes

I can hardly believe that I am this hungry at 7 in the morning. Dreams of spanakopita lulled me to sleep last night and while there must have worked overtime on my stomach.

If I could wish three dishes to magically appear before me now, they would be Greek. So, thanks to the internet, here they are, my favorites, and the methods to conjure them for yourself.

Appetizer: Dolmas (Stuffed Grape Leaves)

Recipe by Patti Moschonas.

"These are grape leaves, stuffed with a tantalizing mixture of rice, fresh dill, mint and lemon. 'Yum' is the only one word to describe these. These can either be a main dish or an appetizer, depending on your appetite. Serve with good crusty bread and a Greek salad, if desired."

Prep Time 40 Min, Cook Time 1 Hr, Ready In 1 Hr 40 Min, Serves 12.

Ingredients

2 cups uncooked long-grain white rice
1 large onion, chopped
1/2 cup chopped fresh dill
1/2 cup chopped fresh mint leaves
2 quarts chicken broth
3/4 cup fresh lemon juice, divided
60 grape leaves, drained and rinsed
hot water as needed
1 cup olive oil

Directions

1. In a large saucepan over medium-high heat, saute the rice, onion, dill, and mint for about 5 minutes, or until onion is soft. Pour in 1 quart of broth, reduce heat to low and simmer for another 10 to 15 minutes, or until rice is almost cooked. Stir in 1/2 of lemon juice and remove from heat.

2. Take one leaf, shiny side down, and place 1 teaspoon of the rice mixture at the bottom (stem) end of the leaf. Fold both sides of the leaf towards the center, roll up from the broad bottom to the top, and place into a 4-quart pot. Repeat with all leaves, leaving no gaps as leaves are placed in pot (to prevent from opening while cooking). Sprinkle with remaining lemon juice and with olive oil.

3. Pour chicken broth over all to cover grape leaves. Cover pot and simmer for about 1 hour (do not boil, because this will make the stuffing burst out of the leaves). Remove from heat, remove cover and let cool for 1/2 hour. Transfer to serving dish and serve.

Footnote

If using fresh grape leaves, plunge into a deep container of very hot water for about 10 seconds, to soften (don't let the leaves lose their fresh green color).

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Main Course: Spanakopita (Spinach Pie)

Recipe by SilverWolf.

"This is an authentic, really rich pie stuffed with spinach, onions, cheeses and herbs that are all enfolded by crispy, flaky phyllo dough."

Prep Time 30 Min, Cook Time 1 Hr, Ready In 1 Hr 30 Min, Original recipe yield 1 - 9x9 inch pan, Serves 5.

Ingredients

3 tablespoons olive oil
1 large onion, chopped
1 bunch green onions, chopped
2 cloves garlic, minced
2 pounds spinach, rinsed and chopped
1/2 cup chopped fresh parsley
2 eggs, lightly beaten
1/2 cup ricotta cheese
1 cup crumbled feta cheese
8 sheets phyllo dough
1/4 cup olive oil

Directions

1. Preheat oven to 350 degrees F (175 degrees C). Lightly oil a 9x9 inch square baking pan.

2. Heat 3 tablespoons olive oil in a large skillet over medium heat. Saute onion, green onions and garlic, until soft and lightly browned. Stir in spinach and parsley, and continue to saute until spinach is limp, about 2 minutes. Remove from heat and set aside to cool.

3. In a medium bowl, mix together eggs, ricotta, and feta. Stir in spinach mixture. Lay 1 sheet of phyllo dough in prepared baking pan, and brush lightly with olive oil. Lay another sheet of phyllo dough on top, brush with olive oil, and repeat process with two more sheets of phyllo. The sheets will overlap the pan. Spread spinach and cheese mixture into pan and fold overhanging dough over filling. Brush with oil, then layer remaining 4 sheets of phyllo dough, brushing each with oil. Tuck overhanging dough into pan to seal filling.

4. Bake in preheated oven for 30 to 40 minutes, until golden brown. Cut into squares and serve while hot.

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Dessert: Baklava

Recipe by NeonWillie.

"A Greek favorite that makes everyone think you are a master chef and is sooo easy to make!! I taught a Greek friend how to make apple pie and she taught me this fabulous recipe. The phyllo dough for this recipe is found in the freezer section of most grocery stores. Add a little lemon zest to the sugar sauce, if desired."

Original recipe yield 3 dozen, Serves 18.

Ingredients

1 (16 ounce) package phyllo dough
1 pound chopped nuts
1 cup butter
1 teaspoon ground cinnamon
1 cup water
1 cup white sugar
1 teaspoon vanilla extract
1/2 cup honey

Directions

1. Preheat oven to 350 degrees F(175 degrees C). Butter the bottoms and sides of a 9x13 inch pan.

2. Chop nuts and toss with cinnamon. Set aside. Unroll phyllo dough. Cut whole stack in half to fit pan. Cover phyllo with a dampened cloth to keep from drying out as you work. Place two sheets of dough in pan, butter thoroughly. Repeat until you have 8 sheets layered. Sprinkle 2 - 3 tablespoons of nut mixture on top. Top with two sheets of dough, butter, nuts, layering as you go. The top layer should be about 6 - 8 sheets deep.

3. Using a sharp knife cut into diamond or square shapes all the way to the bottom of the pan. You may cut into 4 long rows the make diagonal cuts. Bake for about 50 minutes until baklava is golden and crisp.

4. Make sauce while baklava is baking. Boil sugar and water until sugar is melted. Add vanilla and honey. Simmer for about 20 minutes.

5. Remove baklava from oven and immediately spoon sauce over it. Let cool. Serve in cupcake papers. This freezes well. Leave it uncovered as it gets soggy if it is wrapped up.

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All of the above user-submitted recipes are from the aptly named AllRecipes.com.

For best results, read the user suggestions I've added to the comments and serve with your favorite Chardonnay or Pino Grigio.

Bon Appétit!

Saturday, June 27, 2009

The King and Queen of Worms Explain Worm Gruntin'

Gary Revell, The King of Worms.

"It may be doubted whether there are any other animals which have played so important a part in the history of the world as the earthworm." -- Charles Darwin, 1881

Worm Gruntin' in Sopchoppy, Florida

35 miles and 100 years southwest of Tallahassee... live Gary and Audrey Revell, the undisputed King and Queen of Worms. In the 35 years that they've been married, Gary and Audrey have "rooted" enough earthworms to reach to the moon and back. It just goes to show that you can reach the moon from your own backyard -- if you do what you love.

It's part of my backyard too.

And you wonder where I've been all day... ;) - c

Fascinating earthworm facts:

  • One acre of land equals one million earthworms.
  • One acre of earthworms can recompose 10 tons of leaves in one year.
  • There are approximately 2,700 different kinds of earthworms.
  • The largest earthworm ever found (in South America) was 22 feet.
  • Earthworms have a total of 16 hearts.
  • Earthworms hatch from cocoons smaller than a grain of rice.
  • Earthworms keep the earth soft and plants healthy.
  • Earthworms are 82% protein and edible - yum!
  • Eating earthworms can reduce cholesterol.
  • Earthworm castings (a.k.a. poo) are used as premium fertilizers.
  • With a wooden stake and iron, you can raise a family.

Audrey Revell, The Queen of Worms.

In the peak months of March, April, and May earthworms bring $25 to $28 a can to the baiters who grunt for worms in the sandy soils of Apalachicola National Forest. In the flatwoods of the Florida Panhandle baiting is not the act of threading worm on hook but an earlier step -- the extraction of the worm from the ground. To "grunt" -- or "scrub," or "rub" -- for worms, the baiter drives a wooden stake into the earth. The stake, carved from black gum, or cherry, or white hickory, is called a stob -- a fine old word, a Medieval English survival by way of Scots dialect transplanted to the southern woods. The baiter drives in the stob one-handed, with blows from the long bar he calls his iron. Then, kneeling, he grips the iron firmly at both ends. Leaning his weight into the task, like a man planing wood, he strokes the length of the iron repeatedly and rhythmically over the top of the stob, producing a deep metallic croaking. The sound is vibrant, interrogative, lovesick, alien, like the mating call of some giant amphibian in an iron mine on Mars.

East of the Ochlockonee River, in the soft soil of Wakulla County, the stob is huge. The baiters there -- "those Sopchoppy boys," as they are known on the other side -- use a flat, heavy iron with a kind of paddle grip cut into one end. Around the little Wakulla County town of Sopchoppy heavy gear seems to work best. West of the Ochlockonee, in the firmer, more resonant soil of Liberty County, the stob is smaller, and the iron more delicate and graceful -- a curving length of steel cut from the leaf spring of a car or truck. On either side of the river the technique is the same. With his iron held edge-on, the baiter knocks in his stob. Turning the iron flat side downward, he commences grunting. When he has hit the stob five or six licks, a magical thing happens. For reasons unknown to science but resonatingly clear to worms, the song of the iron drives pale legions of annelids from the safety of their tunnels. The baiter becomes a Pied Piper of worms. The finest bait in the entire South -- finest, some say, on the planet -- begins appearing everywhere on the surface of the ground.

Hungry for more? Read the entire article on worm grunting at The Atlantic Online.

Friday, June 26, 2009

The Milky Road

Click photo to enlarge.

Inspired by the night skies of planet Earth in the International Year of Astronomy, photographer Larry Landolfi created this tantalizing fantasy view.

The composited image suggests a luminous Milky Way is the heavenly extension of a country road. Of course, the name for our galaxy, the Milky Way (in Latin, Via Lactea), does refer to its appearance as a milky band or path in the sky. In fact, the word galaxy itself derives from the Greek for milky, galaxias.

Visible on moonless nights from dark sky areas, though not so bright or colorful as in this image, the glowing celestial band is due to the collective light of myriad stars along the plane of our galaxy, too faint to be distinguished individually. The diffuse starlight is cut by dark swaths of obscuring galactic dust clouds.

Four hundred years ago, Galileo turned his telescope on the Milky Way and announced it to be "... a congeries of innumerable stars ..." -- Astronomy Picture of the Day

Repel mosquitoes with common garden plants

Last weekend, Sam helped me in the garden. Thankfully, he soon wore out, and flopped in the cat cove catnip. - Central Texas Gardener Blog

Repel mosquitoes with common garden plants

By Catherine Mezensky for Baltimore Gardening Examiner, edited by Puter and c

With the frequent rains this spring, most gardens are doing well. So are the mosquitoes. Mosquitoes can breed in as little as a ½ of an inch of water, such as in a bottle cap. The best way to eliminate mosquitoes is to remove any standing water in your garden.

If you need a safe, organic, and environmentally sound mosquito repellent, many plants that you may already be growing in your home garden can do this job.

Citrosa and Rue are commonly considered to be good against mosquitoes, but some findings suggest that citrosa doesn’t repel mosquitoes as well as other plants. Lemon thyme is said to be stronger.

Catnip is supposed to be great at driving away mosquitoes and some sources say it is even better than Deet, which is the main ingredient in chemical repellents.

Rosemary and basil are also good. The best way to use these leafy herbs is to crush the leaves and rub them on your skin. (Test a small patch first to make sure you are not allergic.)

Garlic also wards off mosquitoes. Not only should you grow garlic, but you should eat it so bugs get the scent off of you and leave. (Unfortunately, this may also make everyone else stay away.)

Marigolds are known for pest control in garden beds but mosquitoes also dislike their smell. Put a few in pots and place them on tables or benches in outdoor sitting areas. If you are having a gathering pick a lot of marigolds and scatter the bouquets around the outdoor party area.

Many gardeners are fond of the mosquito plant. This is a hybrid that was developed from a geranium and was bred with citronella grass traits. Also called the citronella geranium, the plant grows well in pots and has a nice lemony scent. Like with other herbs, crush it and put it on your skin or grow it in pots placed in frequently used outdoor areas. The leaves are very lacy looking and the flowers are purple spikes. As a side benefit, this plant attracts both hummingbirds and butterflies.

Herbs and plants are not only a beautiful way to keep mosquitoes away, they are also the safe way to protect your family during the warm summer months.

Puter made me add this. ;) - c

Thursday, June 25, 2009

Nuclear war is Kim Jong-il's game plan

[This article is written from the DPRK viewpoint. See note on author at end.]

By Kim Myong Chol for Asia Times

"Our military first policy calls for an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth, retaliation for retaliation, ultra-hardline for hardline, war for war, total war for total war, nuclear war for nuclear war." - Kim Jong-il

A little-noted fact about the second nuclear test conducted on May 25 by the Kim Jong-il administration of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) is that it was a highly successful fission trigger test for multi-megaton warheads.

These types of warheads can be detonated in outer space, far above the United States, evaporating its key targets. This is a significant indication of the supreme leader's game plan for nuclear war with the crippled superpower and its allies, Japan and South Korea.

The North Korean Foreign Ministry on April 29 announced its plan to test-fire what it termed a long-awaited "intercontinental ballistic missile" (ICBM), the first public ICBM test after numerous missile tests, short-range, medium-range, and long-range, were conducted without notice.

On March 9, the General Staff of the nuclear-armed Korean People's Army had begun preparing to launch simultaneous retaliatory strikes on the US, Japan and South Korea in response to their act of war.

Although no appropriate test site for a thermonuclear bomb is available on the Korean Peninsula, North Korean scientists and engineers are confident, as a series of computer simulations have proved that their hydrogen bombs will be operational. The North Korean message is that any soft spots of the US, Japan and South Korea's defense lines will be used as the testing grounds for their thermonuclear weapons.

The Korean Central News Agency said on May 25 that the underground nuclear test was carried out at the request of nuclear scientists and engineers and reported:

The current nuclear test was safely conducted on a new higher level in terms of its explosive power and technology of its control and the results of the test helped satisfactorily settle the scientific and technological problems arising in further increasing the power of nuclear weapons and steadily developing nuclear technology.

John Pike, the founder and director of globalsecurity.org, told the Weekly Standard on October 19, 2006, that the North Korean nuclear test that year may have been a test of a "trigger device" for a much larger hydrogen bomb. Writing in The New York Times on April 7, 2009, he revealed that "North Korea's low-yield nuclear test in October 2006 did "coincide with the sub-kiloton tests of the fission trigger for a hydrogen bomb". He added, "possibly North Korea's hydrogen bombs can be easily fitted on missiles".

The Kim Jong-il administration has developed its global nuclear strike capability primarily as a deterrent to US invasion to keep the Korean Peninsula out of war. Secondly, it needs operational nuclear missiles targeted at US and Japanese targets in the event of a DPRK-US war.

The North Korean state-run newspaper, Minjo Joson, vowed on June 9 to use nuclear weapons in war as "merciless means of offense to deal retaliatory strikes" against anyone who "dares infringe upon the dignity and sovereignty of the DPRK even a bit".

Scenario for nuclear war

After shifting to a plan B, Supreme Leader Kim Jong-il has put in place a nuclear game plan as a part of the plan's military first policy to deal with nuclear rogue state America and its allies South Korea and Japan. (See Kim Jong-il shifts to plan B, Asia Times Online, May 21.)

The nuclear game plan is designed firstly to militarily prevent the US from throwing a monkey wrench into the plans of the Kim Jong-il administration for economic prosperity by 2012 - the centenary of the birth of founding father Kim Il-sung - in a bid to complete its membership of the three elite clubs of nuclear, space and economic powers.

Its second aim is to win the hearts and minds of the 70 million Korean people, North, South and abroad, and leave little doubt in their eyes that Kim Jong-il has what it takes to neutralize and phase out the American presence in Korea. This will hasten the divided parts of ancestral Korean land - bequeathed by Dankun 5,000 years ago and Jumon 2,000 years ago - coming together under a confederal umbrella as a reunified state.

It is designed to impress upon the Korean population that Kim Jong-il is a Korean David heroically standing up to the American Goliath, that he can lead the epic effort to settle long-smoldering moral scores with the US over a more than 100-year-old grudge match that dates as far as the 1905 Taft-Katsura Agreement and the 1866 invasion of Korea by the US General Sherman.

Third, Kim Jong-il has described the shift to plan B as a stern notice for the governments of the US and its junior allies that they cannot get away with their hostile behavior any longer, unless they are prepared to leave their booming economies consumed in a great conflagration of retaliatory thermonuclear attacks.

The game plan assumes that the US is unlikely to shake off its aggressive behavior until it is wiped off this planet. The Barack Obama administration has not taken much time to reveal its true colors, which are no different from the George W. Bush administration. There have been four compelling signs:

First, the March 9-20 Key Resolve (Team Spirit) joint war games between the US and South Korea.

Second, the US-led United Nation Security Council's (UNSC) condemnation of an innocuous April 5 satellite launch.

Third, the rehashing of counterfeit money charges that the US has failed to produce compelling evidence to support. As Newsweek wrote in its June 8 issue, "The Treasury Department couldn't find a single shred of hard evidence pointing to North Korean production of counterfeit money."

Fourth, the presence of Bush holdovers in the Obama administration, such as Stuart Levy, the architect of Bush-era financial sanctions intended to criminalize the DPRK.

Four types of hydrogen bomb raids

The game plan for nuclear war specifies four types of thermonuclear assault: (1) the bombing of operating nuclear power stations; (2) detonations of a hydrogen bombs in seas off the US, Japan and South Korea; (3) detonations of H-bombs in space far above their heartlands; and (4) thermonuclear attacks on their urban centers.

The first attack involves converting operating nuclear power plants on the coastline of the three countries into makeshift multi-megaton H-bombs.

The New York Times on January 24, 1994, quoted Paul Leventhal, president of the Nuclear Control Institute, warning that North Korea could easily launch de-facto hydrogen bomb attacks on South Korea.

"North Korean retaliation to bombing could result in vastly more fallout in the South than in the North ... North Korean retaliatory bombing could bring Chernobyls multiplied."

If bombed, one average operating nuclear power station is estimated to spew out as much deadly fallout as 150-180 H-bombs. Bombing one nuclear power station would render the Japanese archipelago and South Korea uninhabitable. Doing the same to the US may require bombing one plant on its west coast and another on its east coast.

Nothing is easier than bombing a power plant on a coastline. There is no need to use a ballistic missile. Primitive means will do the job.

The US has 103 operating nuclear power stations with onsite storage of a huge quantity of spent fuel rods and Japan has 53 operating atomic power stations. Japan has a stockpile of weapons-grade plutonium - enough to assemble more than 1,000 atomic bombs in a short period of time. South Korea has 20 operating nuclear power stations with onsite storage of a huge quantity of spent fuel rods.

The detonation of sea-borne or undersea H-bombs planted on the three countries' continental shelves will trigger nuclear tsunamis with devastating consequences.

A 2006 RAND study of a ship-based 10-kiloton nuclear blast on the Port of Long Beach had some harrowing conclusions:

"Within the first 72 hours, the attack would devastate a vast portion of the Los Angeles metropolitan area. Because ground-burst explosions generate particularly large amounts of highly radioactive debris, fallout from the blast would cause much of the destruction. In some of the most dramatic possible outcomes:
  • Sixty thousand people might die instantly from the blast itself or quickly thereafter from radiation poisoning.
  • One hundred and fifty thousand more might be exposed to hazardous levels of radioactive water and sediment from the port, requiring emergency medical treatment.
  • The blast and subsequent fires might completely destroy the entire infrastructure and all ships in the Port of Long Beach and the adjoining Port of Los Angeles.
  • Six million people might try to evacuate the Los Angeles region.
  • Two to three million people might need relocation because fallout will have contaminated a 500-square-kilometer area.
  • Gasoline supplies might run critically short across the entire region because of the loss of Long Beach's refineries - responsible for one-third of the gas west of the Rocky Mountains.
RAND projects that the economic costs would exceed $1 trillion.

The third possible attack, a high-altitude detonation of hydrogen bombs that would create a powerful electromagnetic pulse (EMP), would disrupt the communications and electrical infrastructure of the US, the whole of Japan, and South Korea.

Many of the essential systems needed to survive war would be knocked out, as computers are instantly rendered malfunctioning or unusable. Military and communications systems such as radars, antennas, and missiles, government offices, would be put out of use, as would energy sources such as nuclear power stations and transport and communications systems including airports, airplanes, railways, cars and cell phones.

Ironically the ubiquity of high-tech computing gadgets in the US, Japan and South Korea has made them most vulnerable to EMP attacks.

The last and fourth attack would be to order into action a global nuclear strike force of dozens of MIRVed ICBMs - each bearing a thermonuclear warhead on a prefixed target.

The Yongbyon nuclear site has always been a decoy to attract American attention and bring it into negotiations on a peace treaty to formally end the Korean War. Since as far back as the mid-1980s, North Korea has assembled 100-300 nuclear warheads in an ultra-clandestine nuclear weapons program. The missiles can be mounted on medium-range missiles designed to be nuclear capable.

A prototype ICBM was assembled by the end of the 1980s. Two prototype ICBMs were test-fired on May 29, 1993, with one splashing down off Honolulu and the other off Guam. The Kim Jong-il administration gave an advance notice to the US government of the long-range missile test. But the American reaction was skeptical.

In April 2001, the Associated Press quoted Navy representative Mark Kirk's "terrifying encounter in 1993 with what seemed possible nuclear attack" from North Korea. He recalled:

It was a no notice, no warning missile launch out of North Korea, and for the first and only time in my career in the NMJIC [National Military Joint Intelligence Center], I got to see all of the panoply of the United States military wake up in a few seconds.

We did not know what kind of missile it was, so the impact area, at the beginning, was the entire United States, and you thought about what we might be doing in the next 12 minutes: would we be notifying the president that we had lost an American city? We were going to know the answer in 12 minutes.

At first it still included the Pacific Coast, then it included Hawaii.

AP added: "Little was made of the 1993 launch at the time because it wasn't determined until later that it likely flew over Japan and landed in the Pacific Ocean, Kirk said."

It was not until 1998 that the US notified the Japanese government of the flyover of a North Korean long-range missile before splashing down off Hawaii. The US National Aeronautics and Space Administration quietly labeled the 1998 satellite launch a success.

According to a February 12, 2003, AP report, US intelligence had concluded a few years earlier that North Korea has a ballistic missile capable of hitting the western United States and possibly targets farther inland. ###

Kim Myong Chol has authored a number of books on North Korea, including Kim Jong-il's Strategy for Reunification. He has a PhD from the Democratic People's Republic of Korea's Academy of Social Sciences and is often called an "unofficial" spokesman of Kim Jong-il and North Korea.

Three Stars Exit the Stage - R.I.P.

The King of Pop is dead. Michael Jackson was pronounced dead by doctors at UCLA Medical Center this afternoon after suffering cardiac arrest in his home. He was 50. -- The L.A. Times

Michael Jackson: Life and Times - Photo Gallery

Michael Jackson - Smooth Criminal

How MJ Defied Gravity: The Secret to 'Smooth Criminal'

~ ~ ~

Actress Farrah Fawcett best known for role in Charlie's Angels lost her battle with cancer today at 62.

Farrah Fawcett

~ ~ ~

Tuesday, at age 86, Ed McMahon passed away, taking what was left of the old Tonight Show with him.

Carson Show- Ed McMahon

~

And with their passing goes another part of my childhood. - c

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

California Slippin'

By blackfridayarmy on PhotoBucket.

Signaling that California is slipping deeper into financial crisis, the state’s controller said Wednesday that his office would soon be forced to issue i.o.u.’s to scores of the state’s creditors, as lawmakers failed at their first attempt as a body to close the state’s multibillion-dollar shortfall.

If the i.o.u.’s are issued as threatened, it would be the first time since 1992 — when Gov. Pete Wilson paid roughly 100,000 state employees with them — that the warrants were used to hold over those to whom the state owed money. Before that budget crisis, California last issued the warrants during the Depression. -- The New York Times


UPDATE: California Collapsing

~ ~ ~

Mamas & The Papas - California Dreamin'

All the leaves are brown
And the sky is grey
I've been for a walk
On a winter's day
I'd be safe and warm
If I was in L.A.
California dreamin'
On such a winter's day

Stopped into a church
I passed along the way
Well, I got down on my knees
And I pretend to pray
You know the preacher likes the cold
He knows I'm gonna stay
California dreamin'
On such a winter's day

All the leaves are brown
And the sky is grey
I've been for a walk
On a winter's day
If I didn't tell her
I could leave today
California dreamin'
On such a winter's day

Saeed Mortazavi: Torturer of Tehran

Tehran Prosecutor General Saeed Mortazavi (2nd L) attends the execution by hanging of Majid Kavousifar and Hossein Kavousifar in Tehran August 2, 2007. -- DayLife

Saeed Mortazavi, who has reportedly been given the job of pursuing Iranian democracy protesters through the courts, is a formidable hardliner with a decade-long track record of cracking down on reformists.

As prosecutor-general of Tehran since 2003 and as a judge before that, he has earned the nickname "the butcher of the press" for ordering the closure of more than 100 newspapers, journals and websites suspected of being hostile to the establishment.

He has also led the clampdown on Islamic morality in Tehran that has seen women arrested for immodest clothing.

Read more on the "Torturer of Tehran" at TimesOnline.uk.

In 2005, The New York Times reported that the administration was investigating whether Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is the hostage-taker pictured second from the right, with a blindfolded American, when the embassy was seized in 1979. I hope they also took a closer look at the hostage-taker on the far right.

Saeed Mortazavi, the Torturer of Tehran.

Bad Air and New Flu

Environmental factors continue to make a case for greater risk of catching the new flu, H1N1/A.

Click maps to enlarge.

Though the following article addresses the increased risk of cancer due to air pollution, it's also easy to make a connection to the rates of new flu infection (mapped above) with bad air (mapped here.)

EPA study: 2.2M live in areas where air poses cancer risk

The government's latest snapshot of air pollution across the nation shows residents of New York, Oregon and California faced the highest risk of developing cancer from breathing toxic chemicals.

The results, compiled by the Environmental Protection Agency, represent the most sweeping analysis to date of the state of the nation's air. The analysis is based on emissions from 2002, the latest year for which the EPA had detailed estimates of pollution from across the nation. -- more at USA TODAY.

Today's Geomagnetic Storm

Eielson Air Force Base, Alaska — The Aurora Borealis, or Northern Lights, shines above Bear Lake. Photo by United States Air Force photo by Senior Airman Joshua Strang.

It may turn out to be just a pretty light show in the high latitudes of northern Michigan and Maine -- or -- today's geomagnetic storm may affect power stations across the country and even satellite operations.

Real-Time Geomagnetic Data. -- Warning issued at 0628 UTC.

Classified as a G1 Minor Geomagnetic Storm, today's ongoing event could cause weak power grid fluctuations. Brownouts or blackouts are possible.

Be mindful of excessive energy use today. Give those non-essential electrical appliances the day off, unplugged, to prevent damage in the event of power loss.

And if that cell phone service seems to be acting up, keep in mind that minor impact on satellite operations is also possible today. Take a deep breath and try your call again.

Oh, and while you're breathing, don't forget that "sigh of relief" -- that today's geomagnetic storm wasn't the big one.

An erupting solar prominence photographed by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO).

Evidence is mounting: the next solar cycle is going to be a big one. Solar cycle 24, due to peak in 2010 or 2011 "looks like its going to be one of the most intense cycles since record-keeping began almost 400 years ago," says solar physicist David Hathaway of the Marshall Space Flight Center. -- more at Physics.org.

NOAA Space Weather Scales (pdf)

Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Barter Care

With no health insurance and little money, Gilberto Carrasco, a Reno, Nev., auto mechanic, didn't see much point in getting a physical. At 50, he felt healthy and couldn't afford treatment even if a doctor found a medical problem.

Then his girlfriend, Eren Hernandez, figured out a way to get Carrasco a free checkup. She found a family physician who was willing to trade for his services. During the physical, the doctor discovered that Carrasco had prostate cancer, but caught it before the disease had spread.

"We couldn't have afforded" Carrasco's examination, said Hernandez, who also uses bartering to get extensive medical and dental care for other family members.

With the economy in recession and many people strapped for cash, bartering of various kinds has increased. Now, health care is surpassing auto repair and advertising as the service in most demand, said people who run local barter exchanges.

Alan Zimmerman, a spokesman for ITEX, the largest network of barter exchanges in North America, said that in the past two years the demand for health care has jumped by more than 20 percent. The company has 551 physicians and 618 dentists who participate in its 100 local barter groups.

Barter is little more than a stopgap solution for the uninsured. But with doctors, dentists, psychiatrists, chiropractors and even cosmetic surgeons offering their services, bartering is providing a temporary safety net of sorts for some workers who've lost their jobs and health coverage. And in some cases, people who have inadequate insurance are using barter to get services such as dental and vision benefits.

There are two main types of bartering: direct and indirect. In the former, people engage in direct trades of goods and services without using money. In the latter, small-business owners and individuals accumulate credits, or barter dollars, by providing specific services ranging from painting a porch to putting on a dance performance. Those barter dollars can be used to buy the services of any other network member. That way, a barber with a toothache can barter for dental work without having to find a dentist who wants a haircut. -- more via St. Louis Dispatch

Beware of trading with the barber / taxidermist. ;) - c

A Tale of Two Depressions

Scene from A Tale of Two Cities, 1935.

By Barry Eichengreen, Kevin H. O’Rourke, VoxEU.org

The parallels between the Great Depression of the 1930s and our current Great Recession have been widely remarked upon. Paul Krugman has compared the fall in US industrial production from its mid-1929 and late-2007 peaks, showing that it has been milder this time. On this basis he refers to the current situation, with characteristic black humor, as only “half a Great Depression.” The “Four Bad Bears” graph [below] comparing the Dow in 1929-30 and S&P 500 in 2008-9 has similarly had wide circulation (Short 2009). It shows the US stock market since late 2007 falling just about as fast as in 1929-30.

The Four Bad Bears. -- Click graph to enlarge.

Comparing the Great Depression to now for the world, not just the US

This and most other commentary contrasting the two episodes compares America then and now. This, however, is a misleading picture. The Great Depression was a global phenomenon. Even if it originated, in some sense, in the US, it was transmitted internationally by trade flows, capital flows and commodity prices. That said, different countries were affected differently. The US is not representative of their experiences.

Our Great Recession is every bit as global, earlier hopes for decoupling in Asia and Europe notwithstanding. Increasingly there is awareness that events have taken an even uglier turn outside the US, with even larger falls in manufacturing production, exports and equity prices.

In fact, when we look globally, as in Figure 1, the decline in industrial production in the last nine months has been at least as severe as in the nine months following the 1929 peak. (All graphs in this column track behaviour after the peaks in world industrial production, which occurred in June 1929 and April 2008.) Here, then, is a first illustration of how the global picture provides a very different and, indeed, more disturbing perspective than the US case considered by Krugman, which as noted earlier shows a smaller decline in manufacturing production now than then.

Figure 1. World Industrial Output, Now vs Then

Source: Eichengreen and O’Rourke (2009) and IMF.

Similarly, while the fall in US stock market has tracked 1929, global stock markets are falling even faster now than in the Great Depression (Figure 2). Again this is contrary to the impression left by those who, basing their comparison on the US market alone, suggest that the current crash is no more serious than that of 1929-30.

Figure 2. World Stock Markets, Now vs Then

Source: Global Financial Database.

Another area where we are “surpassing” our forbearers is in destroying trade. World trade is falling much faster now than in 1929-30 (Figure 3). This is highly alarming given the prominence attached in the historical literature to trade destruction as a factor compounding the Great Depression.

Figure 3. The Volume of World Trade, Now vs Then

Sources: League of Nations Monthly Bulletin of Statistics, http://www.cpb.nl/eng/research/sector2/data/trademonitor.html

It’s a Depression alright

To sum up, globally we are tracking or doing even worse than the Great Depression, whether the metric is industrial production, exports or equity valuations. Focusing on the US causes one to minimise this alarming fact. The “Great Recession” label may turn out to be too optimistic. This is a Depression-sized event.

That said, we are only one year into the current crisis, whereas after 1929 the world economy continued to shrink for three successive years. What matters now is that policy makers arrest the decline. We therefore turn to the policy response.

Policy responses: Then and now

Figure 4 shows a GDP-weighted average of central bank discount rates for 7 countries. As can be seen, in both crises there was a lag of five or six months before discount rates responded to the passing of the peak, although in the present crisis rates have been cut more rapidly and from a lower level. There is more at work here than simply the difference between George Harrison and Ben Bernanke. The central bank response has differed globally.

Figure 4. Central Bank Discount Rates, Now vs Then (7 country average)

Source: Bernanke and Mihov (2000); Bank of England, ECB, Bank of Japan, St. Louis Fed, National Bank of Poland, Sveriges Riksbank.

Figure 5 shows money supply for a GDP-weighted average of 19 countries accounting for more than half of world GDP in 2004. Clearly, monetary expansion was more rapid in the run-up to the 2008 crisis than during 1925-29, which is a reminder that the stage-setting events were not the same in the two cases. Moreover, the global money supply continued to grow rapidly in 2008, unlike in 1929 when it levelled off and then underwent a catastrophic decline.

Figure 5. Money Supplies, 19 Countries, Now vs Then

Source: Bordo et al. (2001), IMF International Financial Statistics, OECD Monthly Economic Indicators.

Figure 6 is the analogous picture for fiscal policy, in this case for 24 countries. The interwar measure is the fiscal surplus as a percentage of GDP. The current data include the IMF’s World Economic Outlook Update forecasts for 2009 and 2010. As can be seen, fiscal deficits expanded after 1929 but only modestly. Clearly, willingness to run deficits today is considerably greater.

Figure 6. Government Budget Surpluses, Now vs Then

Source: Bordo et al. (2001), IMF World Economic Outlook, January 2009.

Conclusion

To summarise: the world is currently undergoing an economic shock every bit as big as the Great Depression shock of 1929-30. Looking just at the US leads one to overlook how alarming the current situation is even in comparison with 1929-30.

The good news, of course, is that the policy response is very different. The question now is whether that policy response will work. For the answer, stay tuned for our next column [update below].

References

Eichengreen, B. and K.H. O’Rourke. 2009. “A Tale of Two Depressions.” In progress.

Bernanke, B.S. 2000. Bernanke, B.S. and I. Mihov. 2000. “Deflation and Monetary Contraction in the Great Depression: An Analysis by Simple Ratios.” In B.S. Bernanke, Essays on the Great Depression. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

Bordo, M.D., B. Eichengreen, D. Klingebiel and M.S. Martinez-Peria. 2001. “Is the Crisis Problem Growing More Severe?” Economic Policy32: 51-82.

Paul Krugman, “The Great Recession versus the Great Depression,” Conscience of a Liberal (20 March 2009).

Doug Short, “Four Bad Bears,” DShort: Financial Lifecycle Planning (20 March 2009).

Scene from A Tale of Two Cities, 1935.

UPDATE:

This is an update of the authors' 6 April 2009 column comparing today's global crisis to the Great Depression.

World industrial production, trade, and stock markets are diving faster now than during 1929-30.

The update shows that trade and stock markets have shown some improvement without reversing the overall conclusion -- today's crisis is at least as bad as the Great Depression.

New findings:

  • World industrial production continues to track closely the 1930s fall, with no clear signs of ‘green shoots’.
  • World stock markets have rebounded a bit since March, and world trade has stabilized, but these are still following paths far below the ones they followed in the Great Depression.
  • There are new charts for individual nations’ industrial output. The big-4 EU nations divide north-south; today’s German and British industrial output are closely tracking their rate of fall in the 1930s, while Italy and France are doing much worse.
  • The North Americans (US & Canada) continue to see their industrial output fall approximately in line with what happened in the 1929 crisis, with no clear signs of a turn around.
  • Japan’s industrial output in February was 25 percentage points lower than at the equivalent stage in the Great Depression. There was however a sharp rebound in March.
  • The facts for Chile, Belgium, Czechoslovakia, Poland and Sweden are displayed below; note the rebound in Eastern Europe.

Updated Figure 1. World Industrial Output, Now vs Then (updated)

Updated Figure 2. World Stock Markets, Now vs Then (updated)

Updated Figure 3. The Volume of World Trade, Now vs Then (updated)

Updated Figure 4. Central Bank Discount Rates, Now vs Then (7 country average)

New Figure 5. Industrial output, four big Europeans, then and now

New Figure 6. Industrial output, four Non-Europeans, then and now.

New Figure 7. Industrial output, four small Europeans, then and now.

~ ~ ~

A Tale Of Two Cities - Entire Movie

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us... in short, it was a period very like the present...

-- Charles Dickens

~ ~ ~

Click cartoon to enlarge.

Yes, the Charles Dickens classic, A Tale of Two Cities, that I had to read in high school, but cannot remember 90% of.

I always wondered what it was like for the guys who had to do all of that beheading. It could not have been an easy job, you know?

Written by RJ White, illustrated by Edmund Osterman. -- via ClassicsAlive!

Monday, June 22, 2009

Hack Your iPhone for Fish

Frankenstein Fly Lure Built From Dead iPhone 3G

Cult of iPhone follower Captain Ahab has fashioned himself a totally unique fly fishing lure built like a miniature Frankenstein from the guts of his dead iPhone 3G which had been dropped into the Farmington River.

Accepting the fact that his cell phone was now an expensive paperweight, the Captain was determined to reanimate it so he could return it to the very river that robbed him of his first love and bring home some killer fish.

The lure's body is constructed with lens cloth, the legs from iPhone's USB to motherboard connector, head and wings with the touch screen to motherboard connector, the second wing with Apple gasket/sticker and other various screws and parts. -- Gizmodo

Here's hopin' your Frankenstein lure scares up some monster fish, Cap. ;) - c

Like Father, Like Son: Kim Jong-un

Kim Jong-un aged 16.

A 10-year-old photograph of North Korean leader Kim Jong-il's heir apparent Jong-un at the age of 16 was published in the Mainichi Shimbun newspaper on Sunday. The Japanese daily said the photo was taken in June 1999, when Jong-un, then at junior high school in Switzerland under the assumed name Park Un, posed with his classmates. -- source

More recent photo? Notice fatigue t-shirt.

Until his mother's death in 2004, Jong-un liked to wear military fatigues and carry a pistol, heading to military bases ahead of his father's visits to give soldiers pep talks on the "Songun" or Military First ideology.

Unlike Jong-chol, who is into computers and music, Jong-un is a sports fan. That is why Kim Jong-il is said to have described Jong-chol as being "girlish" and Jong-un as having leadership qualities.

One North Korean defector who used to be a member of the Pyongyang athletic squad describes Jong-un as being more aggressive than his brother.

Kim's erstwhile chef Kenji Fujimoto said Jong-un resembles his father both in his facial features and his physique.

Kim Jong-un aged 11.

For five years since 2002, Jong-un studied military science at the Kim Il Sung Military University, which trains military leaders. He is said to have received private tutoring as well by inviting academics to teach him at home.

Due to the stress from the death of his mother, Jong-un is also rumored to have grown fat, weighing 90 kg at only 175 cm tall. He is also rumored to have developed diabetes and high blood pressure, traits he inherited from his father. -- source

By Rainer Hachfled, Neues Deutschalnd, Germany on June 5, 2009.

24-June-09 Update: Meet North Korea's New Top Cop

Ahmadinejad: Send Them to Labor Camps

The term "bullies and hooligans" is being used by many people these days – from police commanders to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – but it is still vague for many legal experts.

Ahmadinejad said that in order to distance the bullies and hooligans from society, they should be taken to the [uranium] mine of Kavir Desert to carry out forced labor, "in order to turn them into human beings." -- BBC Persian TV via MEMRI

“These individuals will not be trained in any way at these camps. Rather, they will be punished by being subjected to hard and intensive labor,” the mullahs’ State Security Forces (SSF) chief, Brig. Gen. Esmaeil Ahmadi Moghaddam, announced in a separate news conference. -- source

Kavīr Desert, Iran. Photo by Harrison Forman.

June 23 update: Judicial officials announced that a special court is being created to try demonstrators and that anyone continuing to protest [the presidential election] would be "considered a threat" and arrested.-- Foreign Policy

[Wondering if being "considered a threat" is worse than being "bullies and hooligans"? And I thought our legal system was flawed!]

MEMRI Archives: Ahmadinejad Suggests Sending "Bullies and Hooligans" to Labor Camps

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Yarrow: Nature's QuikClot and So Much More

Achillea millefolium - Yarrow

Achilles carried it into battle, wrote the ancient Greeks.

Its called Staunchweed, Soldier's Woundwort, Thousand-Seal, and Nature's QuikClot.

But, it's more than a wonder drug -- so much more.

During summer and autumn, harvest the entire plant with roots -- yes, every part is usable.

Medicine

Tea made from the flowers treats upper respiratory phlegm.

Inhale steam from fresh boiling flowers to relieve hay fever and mild asthma.

The dark blue essential oil, extracted by steam distillation of the flowers, is generally used as an anti-inflammatory [1] or in chest rubs for colds and influenza [2].

Adding distilled water to yarrow oil produces an allergy nasal spray.

When crushed, the purple portion of the root from the white yarrow plant is a natural numbing agent. Native Americans would often chew this portion of the plant if they had painful open sores in their mouth. [Good for a toothache?]

Food

In the 17th century, yarrow was a very popular vegetable.

Cook the younger leaves as spinach, or use them in a soup.

Its flavor is sweetly bitter.

Gardening

Yarrow is considered an especially useful companion plant.

It attracts predatory wasps, which drink the nectar and then use insect pests as food for their larvae. Similarly, it attracts ladybugs and hoverflies.

Its leaves make good fertilizer -- a beneficial additive for compost.

Yarrow even improves the health of sick plants when grown near them.

More!

Yarrow extract repels mosquitoes.

Known to the Swedish as "Field Hop", yarrow was used in the Middle Ages as part of a herbal mixture known as gruit (used in the flavoring of beer prior to the use of hops.)

Ground flowering tops make snuff. ###

Notes:

[1] Anti-inflammatory Massage Oil: Dilute 5-10 drops of yarrow oil in 25 ml St. John's wort oil.

[2] Chest Rubs for Colds and Flu: Combine yarrow oil with eucalyptus, peppermint, hyssop, or thyme oils, diluting a total of 20 drops of oil in 25 ml almond or sunflower oil.

Gardening Tips : How to Grow Yarrow (Achillea)

To grow yarrow, which produces white, yellow, orange, pink and red flowers, provide full, hot sun and good drainage.

Chop back yarrow plants in the middle of summer to get more blooms through the fall.

Yarrow Seeds on eBay

Peak Guy at Guye Peak

Ralph Kratz, Guye Peak via CrossFit

World-Class Fitness in 100 Words:

■ Eat meat and vegetables, nuts and seeds, some fruit, little starch and no sugar. Keep intake to levels that will support exercise but not body fat.

■ Practice and train major lifts: Deadlift, clean, squat, presses, C&J, and snatch. Similarly, master the basics of gymnastics: pull-ups, dips, rope climb, push-ups, sit-ups, presses to handstand, pirouettes, flips, splits, and holds. Bike, run, swim, row, etc, hard and fast.

■ Five or six days per week mix these elements in as many combinations and patterns as creativity will allow. Routine is the enemy. Keep workouts short and intense.

■ Regularly learn and play new sports.

CrossFit: What Is Fitness and Who Is Fit? (PDF 11 pages)

Saturday, June 20, 2009

Ray Noble Orchestra - Goodnight Sweetheart (1931)

Vocals by: Al Bowlly, the first crooner.

Ray Noble Orchestra : Goodnight Sweetheart (1931)

Goodnight sweetheart,
All my prayers are for you.
Goodnight sweetheart,
I'll be watching o'er you.

Tears and parting,
May make us forlorn,
But with the dawn,
A new day is born.

So I say... Goodnight sweetheart,
Sleep will banish sorrow.
Goodnight sweetheart,
When we meet tomorrow.

Dreams enfold you,
In them dear I'll hold you.
Goodnight sweetheart,
Goodnight.

Do you swear to tell the truth?

US judges can demand removal of Muslim veil - Al-Arabia, editing mine.

Judges in the United States can now order a veiled woman witness to remove her face covering to testify in court, according to a new court ruling issued last week that has human rights groups [Sharia rights groups, the ACLU and CAIR] worried about its potential discrimination against veiled Muslim women.

In a majority vote of 5-2, a Michigan U.S. Supreme Court ruled that judges should "exercise reasonable control" over the appearances of witnesses to judge their body language and facial expressions and to ensure proper identification.

Damn skippy!

~ ~ ~

Austin Powers: "That's a man, baby!"

From Austin Powers - International Man of Mystery

BBQ Rules

via Essays & Effluvia

We are about to enter the BBQ season. Therefore it is important to refresh your memory on the etiquette of this sublime outdoor cooking activity. When a man volunteers to BBQ the following chain of events are put into motion:

Routine...

(1) The woman buys the food.
(2) The woman makes the salad, prepares the vegetables, and makes dessert.
(3) The woman prepares the meat for cooking, places it on a tray along with the necessary cooking utensils and sauces, and takes it to the man who is lounging beside the grill - beer in hand.
(4) The woman remains outside the compulsory three meter exclusion zone where the exuberance of testosterone and other manly bonding activities can take place without the interference of the woman.

Here comes the important part:

(5) THE MAN PLACES THE MEAT ONTO THE GRILL.

More routine...

(6) The woman goes inside to organize the plates and cutlery.
(7) The woman comes out to tell the man that the meat is looking great. He thanks her and asks if she will bring another beer while he flips the meat.

Important again:

(8) THE MAN TAKES THE MEAT OFF OF THE GRILL AND HANDS IT TO THE WOMAN.

More routine...

(9) The woman prepares the plates, salad, bread, utensils, napkins, sauces, and brings them to the table.
(10) After eating, the woman clears the table and does the dishes.

And most important of all:

(11) Everyone PRAISES the MAN and THANKS HIM for his cooking efforts.
(12) The man asks the woman how she enjoyed "her night off", and, upon seeing her annoyed reaction, concludes that there's just no pleasing some women.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Container Gardening: Herbs

Container Gardening: Herbs

Container gardening is a great way to grow plants, vegetables and herbs without needing a lot of space. Herbs do especially well and can be grown right outside your kitchen door. In this video, you'll learn how to use an old farmer's market basket to make a great container garden. Fill it with your favorite herbs and your cooking will be full of flavor all summer long.

Friday Prayer

Cartoon by Morten Moreland / The Times

Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei giving his Friday prayer sermon at Tehran University:

"They are showing their true enmity towards the Iranian Islamic state and the most evil of them is the British government."

The mention of Britain triggered chants of "Marg bar Ingles" (Death to Britain) from the ranks of worshippers. -- Guardian

~ ~ ~

Imagine there's no countries
It isn't hard to do
Nothing to kill or die for
And no religion too
-- John Lennon

Hang in there

Buzzards' Roost, Fall Creek Falls State Park, TN

It is not the mountain we conquer but ourselves. -- Edmund Hillary

Thursday, June 18, 2009

Ugg! Another Plague

Close-up of stem rust (''Puccinia graminis'') on wheat. Photo by Yue Jin.

Though most Americans have never heard of it, Ug99 -- a type of fungus called stem rust because it produces reddish-brown flakes on plant stalks -- is the No. 1 threat to the world's most widely grown crop -- wheat.

Crop scientists fear the Ug99 fungus could wipe out more than 80% of worldwide wheat crops as it spreads from eastern Africa. It has already jumped the Red Sea and traveled as far as Iran. Experts say it is poised to enter the breadbasket of northern India and Pakistan, and the wind will inevitably carry it to Russia, China and even North America -- if it doesn't hitch a ride with people first.

To make matters worse, the fungus is becoming more virulent as it spreads. Scientists discovered a Ug99 variant in 2006 that can defeat Sr24, a resistance gene that protects Great Plains wheat.

Last year, another variant was found with immunity to Sr36, a gene that safeguards Eastern wheat.

Should those variants make their way to U.S. fields any time soon, scientists would be hard-pressed to protect American wheat crops.

"It's a time bomb," said Jim Peterson, a professor of wheat breeding and genetics at Oregon State University in Corvallis. "It moves in the air, it can move in clothing on an airplane. We know it's going to be here. It's a matter of how long it's going to take." -- LA Times

Darwin Award Candidate: Photographer Down Range During Live Fire

Darwin Award Candidate: Photographer Down Range During Live Fire

PLEASE DO NOT DO THIS AT HOME.

I don't know what range this was filmed at or who the instructor is, but both should be shut down immediately for gross negligence.

The photographer doesn't seem to have a clue. This is why a tripod and remote camera / shutter exist.

Rules of Gun Safety

See Examples of All the Rules

Illegal Exports Far Too Easy

A display of night vision equipment sought by Iran, a confiscated M136 AT4 U.S. Army light anti-tank weapon destined for the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka, and other restricted U.S. military and dual-use technologies targeted for illegal acquisition by foreign nations and terrorist organizations are seen during a news conference at the Justice Department in Washington, regarding illegal export investigations. -- Daylife

Night-vision scopes currently used by U.S. soldiers in Iraq and Afghanistan to identify targets, triggered spark gaps used to detonate nuclear weapons, electronic sensors used in improvised explosive devices, and gyro chips used in guided missiles and military aircraft were just a few of the items that were illegally purchased this year in a covert government operation aimed at identifying the ease of obtaining restricted exports.

Using a bogus front company and fictitious identities, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) was also able to export a number of dummy versions of these items using the mail to a country that is a known transshipment point for terrorist organizations and foreign governments attempting to acquire sensitive technology.

Here is the list of items the GAO was able to purchase and, in two cases, illegally export without detection.

Triggered Spark Gap. Triggered spark gaps are versatile high-voltage switches used for medical applications that can also be used as nuclear weapons detonators. Triggered spark gaps have been the center of unlawful exports to Pakistan and India. However, they are completely legal to buy and sell within the United States.

Oscilloscope. Oscilloscopes are used for displaying the timing, voltages, frequency, and other attributes of electrical signals. In addition, certain oscilloscope versions are capable of being utilized in weapon of mass destruction development and are also export-controlled for antiterrorism reasons. However, oscilloscopes are legal to buy and sell within the United States.

Accelerometer. Accelerometers are sensors and instruments used for measuring, displaying, and analyzing acceleration and vibration. They can be used on a stand-alone basis, or in conjunction with a data acquisition system. The version of the accelerometer we purchased is suitable for use in “smart” bombs and for measuring motions generated by nuclear and chemical explosives and, although legal for domestic sale, is export-controlled under CCL restrictions. [See last photo.]

Quadruple Differential Line Receiver. The quadruple differential line receiver is used for balanced or unbalanced digital data transmission. The product supports defense, aerospace, and medical applications. In addition, certain versions of quadruple differential receivers have military applications. This item may be legally bought and sold within the United States.

Inclinometer. An inclinometer is an instrument used for measuring angles of slope and inclination of an object with respect to its center of gravity. Inclinometers, which are export-controlled but legal to buy and sell within the United States, are suitable for use in the military, medical, optical, range-finder, and robotics fields, and have applications in IEDs.

Gyro Chip. Gyro chips are sensitive dual-use items used in advanced aircraft, missile, space, and commercial systems for stabilization, control, guidance, and navigation. The gyro chip's original intent was for commercial use; however, this same item is also used to stabilize and steer guided missiles. For this reason, the item is export-controlled, but may be legally bought and sold within the United States without restriction.

Ka-Band Power Amplifier. Ka-band power amplifiers are suited for military radar systems, ground terminals for Ka-band satellite communications systems, and point-to-point communication systems. Ka- band power amplifiers are export-controlled for national security reasons, but legal to buy and sell within the United States.

Infra-Red (IR) Flag. IR flags are currently in use by U.S. military forces to help identify friendly soldiers during nighttime operations. Several of the IR flags the GAO purchased appear as a black material with no identifying markers. However, with the use of U.S. military night-vision technology (such as the monocular purchased below), the patches reveal a U.S. flag, and are the same IR flags used on U.S. military combat uniforms. An enemy fighter wearing these IR flags could potentially pass as a friendly service member during a night combat situation, putting U.S. troops at risk. Nevertheless, these items are completely legal to buy and sell within the United States.

Modular Tactical Vest (MTV) and Enhanced Small Arms Protective Inserts (ESAPI). The MTV purchased by the GAO is a type currently being used by U.S. military personnel and have been tested to National Institute of Justice Level IIIA 9mm velocity. Enemies of the United States could use the vest during attacks against American and coalition forces, and they could also be used by criminals within the United States and on the United States-Mexico border. However, the item is completely legal to sell, buy, or possess within the United States, except by certain violent felons.

Night-Vision Monocular and Night-Vision Goggles (NVG). The night-vision monocular is a lightweight, self-contained, image- intensification system capable of being either hand-held, mounted to a small arms weapon mounting rail, or mounted to a head mount or helmet mount. Night-vision monoculars are used in nighttime operations by U.S. forces to provide a tactical advantage on the battlefield. They are legal to buy and sell within the United States.

Secure Personal Radio (SPR). According to the SPR distributor, the SPR model we obtained, which is being used by U.S. Special Forces personnel, is the latest model with enhanced digitally encrypted capability that has a low probability of detection without the aid of high-tech military radio-interception equipment. The SPR provides secure communications between battlefield personnel with an encryption feature that makes communicating with the radio virtually undetectable. Nevertheless, the item is legal to buy and sell within the United States.

F-16 Engine-Monitoring System Computer (EMSC). F-16 EMSC processes digital engine-performance signals from the digital electronic-control module. This EMSC is used in more than 75 percent of the USAF's single-engine F-16 Block 50/52 aircraft. Furthermore, the engine that uses this monitoring system is also qualified for use on the F-15 Strike Eagle aircraft and was recently chosen by South Korea to power its new F-15K fighters. This item is export-controlled under ITAR, but is legal to buy and sell within the United States.

Accelerometer currently being offered worldwide on eBay.

GAO Conclusions: GAO undercover agents were able to purchase sensitive items such as F-14 Tomcat aircraft parts, night-vision goggles currently being used by U.S. forces, and current-issue military body armor on commercial internet sites such as eBay and Craigslist.

Lack of legal restrictions over domestic sales of these items, combined with the difficulties associated with inspecting packages and individuals leaving the United States, does not effectively prevent terrorists and agents of foreign governments from obtaining these sensitive items.

The key to preventing the illegal export of these sensitive items used in nuclear, IED, and military applications is to stop the attempts to obtain the items at the source, because once sensitive items make it into the hands of terrorists or foreign government agents, the shipment and transport out of the United States is unlikely to be detected.

Military and Dual-Use Technology: Covert Testing Shows Continuing Vulnerabilities of Domestic Sales for Illegal Export (PDF, 26 pages)

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

New Strain of Swine Flu Discovered in Brazil

Baby Pennywell Pig

It is not yet known whether this new strain [A/Sao Paulo/1454/H1N1] causes more severe infections than the current H1N1 strain, which has been declared a global pandemic. However, the new strain was discovered in a patient who was hospitalized for the flu. -- FOX News

Hard Times

So much for fishing... hot as hell and nary a nibble. Oh well, it happens NOW and THEN.

NOW -- Flooding the Market

BRIEF FLASHBACK TO THEN -- The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange just after the crash of 1929.

NOW 2009 -- Prior to May, the highest level of new shares issued by existing companies in a given month was $38 billion. May blew that record out of the water, with a monthly total of $64 billion -- and the blistering pace has continued during the first two weeks of June.

This enormous level of stock supply was one of the key characteristics of the monster rally in November 1929 - April 1930 -- just before THE CRASH -- when from April 1930 through the low in July 1932, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) fell by 86%.

Commentary: The supply of stock is mushrooming -- a bearish sign

THE CRASH of 1930 via LearnToTradeFutures.com

Disclaimer: covertress holds no market positions.

~ ~ ~

THEN -- Hard Times

Hard Times #1: Unemployment Blues

Harris Smart and Chris Wilson perform a series of musical reflections on the Great Depression in Australia in the 1930s.

Hard Times #2: On the Track

"I had to go 'on the track' looking for work. The worst part was having to leave the family at home."

Hard Times #3: Shanty Town

"A shanty town sprang up down by the river. People were living in tents and huts made out of tin and hessian bags."

Hard Times #4: Susso Kids

"The worst was when you had to go on the "susso" (sustenance ratiuons) and your kids would get called 'susso kids'."

Hard Times #5: Saturdee Nite Dance

"I used to go down to the back paddock to practise me dancing for the Saturdee Nite Dance." -- [LOL precious]

Hard Times #6: Stand Up for Your Rights

"It was a time of political turmoil. We were on the verge of revolution."

Hard Times #7: All Things Must Pass

"All things must pass, even the Great Depression."

Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Time out...

... for some peaceful fishing ...

... see you in a few days ... - c

Nina Simone - Wild is the Wind

Nina Simone - Wild is the Wind

Love me love me love me
Say you do
Let me fly away
With you
For my love is like
The wind
And wild is the wind

Give me more
Than one caress
Satisfy this
Hungriness
Let the wind
Blow through your heart
For wild is the wind

You...
Touch me...
I hear the sound
Of mandolins
You...
Kiss me...
With your kiss
My life begins
You're spring to me
All things
To me

Don't you know you're
Life itself

Iranian Elections, Israel and the United States

Iranian Elections, Israel and the United States

In the latest installment of the STRATFOR Insights video series, CEO George Friedman discusses the tense future of the Middle East following the recent Iranian elections.

With Israel offering a Palestinian state on terms that are unacceptable to the Palestinians, and freshly re-elected Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad expected to continue his hard-line policies, how President Barack Obama moves forward merits close observation.

www.Stratfor.com

Monday, June 15, 2009

Western Misconceptions Meet Iranian Reality

Former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruholla Khomeini.

By George Friedman, Stratfor

In 1979, when we were still young and starry-eyed, a revolution took place in Iran. When I asked experts what would happen, they divided into two camps.

The first group of Iran experts argued that the Shah of Iran would certainly survive, that the unrest was simply a cyclical event readily manageable by his security, and that the Iranian people were united behind the Iranian monarch’s modernization program. These experts developed this view by talking to the same Iranian officials and businessmen they had been talking to for years — Iranians who had grown wealthy and powerful under the shah and who spoke English, since Iran experts frequently didn’t speak Farsi all that well.

The second group of Iran experts regarded the shah as a repressive brute, and saw the revolution as aimed at liberalizing the country. Their sources were the professionals and academics who supported the uprising — Iranians who knew what former Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ruholla Khomeini believed, but didn’t think he had much popular support. They thought the revolution would result in an increase in human rights and liberty. The experts in this group spoke even less Farsi than the those in the first group.

Misreading Sentiment in Iran

Limited to information on Iran from English-speaking opponents of the regime, both groups of Iran experts got a very misleading vision of where the revolution was heading — because the Iranian revolution was not brought about by the people who spoke English. It was made by merchants in city bazaars, by rural peasants, by the clergy — people Americans didn’t speak to because they couldn’t. This demographic was unsure of the virtues of modernization and not at all clear on the virtues of liberalism. From the time they were born, its members knew the virtue of Islam, and that the Iranian state must be an Islamic state.

Americans and Europeans have been misreading Iran for 30 years. Even after the shah fell, the myth has survived that a mass movement of people exists demanding liberalization — a movement that if encouraged by the West eventually would form a majority and rule the country. We call this outlook “iPod liberalism,” the idea that anyone who listens to rock ‘n’ roll on an iPod, writes blogs and knows what it means to Twitter must be an enthusiastic supporter of Western liberalism. Even more significantly, this outlook fails to recognize that iPod owners represent a small minority in Iran — a country that is poor, pious and content on the whole with the revolution forged 30 years ago.

Iranian rock group Hypernova. Photo by Hiroyuki Ito.

There are undoubtedly people who want to liberalize the Iranian regime. They are to be found among the professional classes in Tehran, as well as among students. Many speak English, making them accessible to the touring journalists, diplomats and intelligence people who pass through. They are the ones who can speak to Westerners, and they are the ones willing to speak to Westerners. And these people give Westerners a wildly distorted view of Iran. They can create the impression that a fantastic liberalization is at hand — but not when you realize that iPod-owning Anglophones are not exactly the majority in Iran.

Last Friday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was re-elected with about two-thirds of the vote. Supporters of his opponent, both inside and outside Iran, were stunned. A poll revealed that former Iranian Prime Minister Mir Hossein Mousavi was beating Ahmadinejad. It is, of course, interesting to meditate on how you could conduct a poll in a country where phones are not universal, and making a call once you have found a phone can be a trial. A poll therefore would probably reach people who had phones and lived in Tehran and other urban areas. Among those, Mousavi probably did win. But outside Tehran, and beyond persons easy to poll, the numbers turned out quite different.

Some still charge that Ahmadinejad cheated. That is certainly a possibility, but it is difficult to see how he could have stolen the election by such a large margin. Doing so would have required the involvement of an incredible number of people, and would have risked creating numbers that quite plainly did not jibe with sentiment in each precinct. Widespread fraud would mean that Ahmadinejad manufactured numbers in Tehran without any regard for the vote. But he has many powerful enemies who would quickly have spotted this and would have called him on it. Mousavi still insists he was robbed, and we must remain open to the possibility that he was, although it is hard to see the mechanics of this.

Ahmadinejad’s Popularity

It also misses a crucial point: Ahmadinejad enjoys widespread popularity. He doesn’t speak to the issues that matter to the urban professionals, namely, the economy and liberalization. But Ahmadinejad speaks to three fundamental issues that accord with the rest of the country.

First, Ahmadinejad speaks of piety. Among vast swathes of Iranian society, the willingness to speak unaffectedly about religion is crucial. Though it may be difficult for Americans and Europeans to believe, there are people in the world to whom economic progress is not of the essence; people who want to maintain their communities as they are and live the way their grandparents lived. These are people who see modernization — whether from the shah or Mousavi — as unattractive. They forgive Ahmadinejad his economic failures.

Second, Ahmadinejad speaks of corruption. There is a sense in the countryside that the ayatollahs — who enjoy enormous wealth and power, and often have lifestyles that reflect this — have corrupted the Islamic Revolution. Ahmadinejad is disliked by many of the religious elite precisely because he has systematically raised the corruption issue, which resonates in the countryside.

Third, Ahmadinejad is a spokesman for Iranian national security, a tremendously popular stance. It must always be remembered that Iran fought a war with Iraq in the 1980s that lasted eight years, cost untold lives and suffering, and effectively ended in its defeat. Iranians, particularly the poor, experienced this war on an intimate level. They fought in the war, and lost husbands and sons in it. As in other countries, memories of a lost war don’t necessarily delegitimize the regime. Rather, they can generate hopes for a resurgent Iran, thus validating the sacrifices made in that war — something Ahmadinejad taps into. By arguing that Iran should not back down but become a major power, he speaks to the veterans and their families, who want something positive to emerge from all their sacrifices in the war.

Perhaps the greatest factor in Ahmadinejad’s favor is that Mousavi spoke for the better districts of Tehran — something akin to running a U.S. presidential election as a spokesman for Georgetown and the Lower East Side. Such a base will get you hammered, and Mousavi got hammered. Fraud or not, Ahmadinejad won and he won significantly. That he won is not the mystery; the mystery is why others thought he wouldn’t win.

For a time on Friday, it seemed that Mousavi might be able to call for an uprising in Tehran. But the moment passed when Ahmadinejad’s security forces on motorcycles intervened. And that leaves the West with its worst-case scenario: a democratically elected anti-liberal.

Western democracies assume that publics will elect liberals who will protect their rights. In reality, it’s a more complicated world. Hitler is the classic example of someone who came to power constitutionally, and then preceded to gut the constitution. Similarly, Ahmadinejad’s victory is a triumph of both democracy and repression.

The Road Ahead: More of the Same

The question now is what will happen next. Internally, we can expect Ahmadinejad to consolidate his position under the cover of anti-corruption. He wants to clean up the ayatollahs, many of whom are his enemies. He will need the support of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. This election has made Ahmadinejad a powerful president, perhaps the most powerful in Iran since the revolution. Ahmadinejad does not want to challenge Khamenei, and we suspect that Khamenei will not want to challenge Ahmadinejad. A forced marriage is emerging, one which may place many other religious leaders in a difficult position.

Certainly, hopes that a new political leadership would cut back on Iran’s nuclear program have been dashed. The champion of that program has won, in part because he championed the program. We still see Iran as far from developing a deliverable nuclear weapon, but certainly the Obama administration’s hopes that Ahmadinejad would either be replaced — or at least weakened and forced to be more conciliatory — have been crushed. Interestingly, Ahmadinejad sent congratulations to U.S. President Barack Obama on his inauguration. We would expect Obama to reciprocate under his opening policy, which U.S. Vice President Joe Biden appears to have affirmed, assuming he was speaking for Obama. Once the vote fraud issue settles, we will have a better idea of whether Obama’s policies will continue. (We expect they will.)

What we have now are two presidents in a politically secure position, something that normally forms a basis for negotiations. The problem is that it is not clear what the Iranians are prepared to negotiate on, nor is it clear what the Americans are prepared to give the Iranians to induce them to negotiate. Iran wants greater influence in Iraq and its role as a regional leader acknowledged, something the United States doesn’t want to give them. The United States wants an end to the Iranian nuclear program, which Iran doesn’t want to give.

On the surface, this would seem to open the door for an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Former U.S. President George W. Bush did not — and Obama does not — have any appetite for such an attack. Both presidents blocked the Israelis from attacking, assuming the Israelis ever actually wanted to attack.

For the moment, the election appears to have frozen the status quo in place. Neither the United States nor Iran seem prepared to move significantly, and there are no third parties that want to get involved in the issue beyond the occasional European diplomatic mission or Russian threat to sell something to Iran. In the end, this shows what we have long known: This game is locked in place, and goes on.

Mr. Recipe's Spicy Salsa

Mr. Recipe, the spice guru. Photo by Melissa Hom.

Mr. Recipe shares his recipe for spicy salsa! The colors and flavors pop off the screen as he shows the techniques for making delicious salsa from scratch.

Aaron Isaacson is the real "MR" behind Mr. Recipe. A graduate of the Culinary Institute of America, he long ago gave up his chef whites and hot kitchens in New York City in favor of jungle tan and even hotter climates in far away lands to search for the finest flavor ingredients.

With his signature mustache, encyclopedic knowledge of flavor, pitch perfect palate and larger than life personality, this modern day "Indiana Jones of Spices" traverses the globe to source the highest grade spices and herbs that the earth has to offer. From the sun kissed hills of Sicily... to the tropical forests of Madagascar... to the fragrant mountain plantations of Tahiti, his story is one of passion, adventure and flavor.

Quietly working behind the scenes for over 20 years as the best kept secret of the culinary elite, this "one-man spice emporium" was finally exposed in 2007 as "The Spice Guru to the Chefs" by New York Magazine. Long revered by those in the know as the leading authority and supplier of the ultimate flavor experience, Mr. Recipe is now himself revealed to you as the the world's hottest commodity in flavor.

This video highlights two of his hottest chile peppers, the famous habanero and the ghost chile!

Mr. Recipe - Nuclear Salsa - Part 1

Mr. Recipe - Nuclear Salsa - Part 2

Mr. Recipe interviews people to get their reactions to his delicious and spicy salsa recipe in Union Square, New York City. The critiques are truly funny and memorable!

Mr. Recipe - Nuclear Salsa - Part 3

Mr. Recipe's Nuclear Salsa

Ingredients:

5 pounds ripe tomatoes, chopped
2 bunches Italian parsley, chopped
15 cloves of garlic, chopped and mashed
3 red onions, chopped and finely diced
6 lemons, zested and juiced
6 limes, zested and juiced
8 oz. tomato powder
2 tsp. sea salt
2 tsp. freshly ground black pepper
4 habanero chilis ground to powder

Method:

1.) Mix all ingredients well in a large bowl and refrigerate.
2.) Serve with tortilla chips or pita chips.

Bon Appétit!

Sunday, June 14, 2009

The American Flag

By John White for The New American

The start of a baseball game, a football game, a NASCAR race, or a rodeo is predictable: crowds turn to face the American flag; men doff their hats; women put their hands on their hearts; and the “Star-Spangled Banner” is sung. And if you take your eyes from the flag for a few moments and look around, and at the same time listen, you may experience something rather profound. Whether clean-shaven or unshaven, whether yuppies or in boots and hats, whether holding children in their arms or apparently alone, Americans of all ages have tears forming in their eyes and catches in their throats as they sing and they stare at the American flag.

Even men, the more stoic segment of society, are choked up with emotion, and you can “feel” a unity among Americans. The same type of response can often be experienced at parades when a color guard marches by carrying the Stars and Stripes — no matter what the music being played.

What is it about the American flag that provokes such a response? Well, the answer is “everything.” The flag of the United States of America is an emblem of our country’s ideals, principles, values, and traditions. It is the sense of America’s history and its vast contribution to human betterment, including the service many Americans gave to the country’s armed forces and the bloody cost of protecting and preserving that contribution. It represents the total experience of America and the American people from the founding of our nation to the present. It also represents our philosophy of government — a recognition that life, liberty, personal sovereignty, individual rights, human dignity, and the opportunity to pursue happiness are given to us by God because that is the only basis that can guarantee those blessings for everyone. Last of all, it represents our great traditions, institutions, and ideals: national sovereignty, representative government in a constitutional federal republic, the rule of law, and people of diverse backgrounds living and working together as free citizens.

It is the symbol of the most enduring free people who have ever lived.

And although our flag is a symbol, it is also considered to be a living thing. President Woodrow Wilson said, “Though silent, it speaks to us — speaks to us of the past; of the men and women who went before us and of the record they wrote into it.”

Other icons of American freedom — the Liberty Bell, Independence Hall, the Capitol, the Statue of Liberty, the bald eagle, Uncle Sam — have their places in our hearts. They convey the meaning of our national experience in various ways and serve well the process of citizen education about our precious heritage. But the majesty and grandeur of the flag flying freely against the sky is the most powerful focal point for Americans who carry forward the dream of liberty and justice for all.

The official name of our flag is “The Flag of the United States of America.” It is also referred to as the National Flag, National Ensign, National Color, and National Standard. However, as with a good friend, Americans speak of our flag by nicknames: the Stars and Stripes; the Star-spangled Banner; Old Glory; the Red, White, and Blue. It is the fourth oldest national flag in the world, after Denmark, Sweden, and the Netherlands.

In an earlier era, when warriors marched into battle behind their regimental and national colors (and children played “Capture the Flag,” knowing what that meant), our flag was regarded by our soldiers as the rallying point of action. It represented everything for which they fought — home, corps, and country — and it contained the honor, valor, and hopes of every man around it. “Our flag must never falter, touch the ground in defeat or be lowered to an enemy,” they silently said, and they guarded it courageously, even unto death. The greatest shame in battle was to surrender one’s flag to a victor, but the American flag has been unvanquished.

Yes, we’ll rally round the flag, boys, we’ll rally once again,
Shouting the battle cry of Freedom

— “The Battle Cry of Freedom,” George Frederick Root, 1863

The great American heritage of freedom is the most precious possession of the entire world. Because our flag embodies that glorious achievement and ideal, it is worthy of our honor, our affections, our deepest sacrifices. We revere the flag, not through unquestioning worship but from a deep appreciation of our national heritage and from gratitude for our good fortune to be Americans. What other nation in all of human history has stated, as the Preamble to our Constitution does, that it was founded “in order to form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity”? In our flag we see our nation itself and the proud history upon which it stands.

Equally important is how others see our flag. Floating from the lofty pinnacle of American idealism, it is a beacon of enduring hope to the oppressed of all lands. It floats over an assemblage of people from every race, creed, and color whose united hearts constitute an indivisible and invincible force for the defense and aid of the downtrodden. It proclaims liberty and justice for all people.

The Design of the Flag

When our flag was created on June 14, 1777, no records were left to explain the meaning of its colors. Their meaning was first stated in 1782 in a report to Congress by the committee charged with designing the Great Seal of the United States. Charles Thomson, secretary of the Continental Congress, stated that the seal’s escutcheon has the same colors and meaning as those of the flag. He wrote, “White signifies purity and innocence, Red hardiness & valor, and Blue … signifies vigilance, perseverance & justice.”

Today it is more broadly — but unofficially — said that red stands for the courage, heroism, and sacrifices of the 44,000,000 men and women who have served in the armed services of our country, and for the blood shed to preserve our liberty; white stands for peacefulness and the purity of our high ideals; and blue, the color of the heavens, connotes the justice, strength, loyalty, and unity of all our states.

The stripes of our flag remind us of the 13 original colonies that constituted America as a new nation and gained us our liberty. The 50 five-pointed stars represent the 50 states bound together as one nation. The field of blue is technically called a canton, but is generally called the union or field of stars. According to a booklet about the flag published by the U.S. House of Representatives in 1977, “The star is a symbol of the heavens and the divine goal to which man has aspired from time immemorial; the stripe is symbolic of the rays of light emanating from the sun.”

The U.S. Flag Code

The display of our flag is governed by law to assure that it is treated with respect. The U.S. Flag Code prescribes proper display of and respect for the Flag of the United States. It is a guide for all handling and display of our flag. It was established by U.S. Code Title 36, Patriotic Societies and Observances, Chapter 10, “Patriotic Customs.” However, the code is dependent upon voluntary conformance. It does not impose penalties for misuse of the flag. That is left to the states and to the federal government of the District of Columbia, though an activist Supreme Court has declared that citizens may disrespect our flag as a form of free speech under the First Amendment.

Before 1923, there were no federal or state regulations governing display of the U.S. flag. At that time the American Legion called for a National Flag Conference to draft a code of flag etiquette for civilians. Representatives of the Army and Navy, which had evolved their own procedures, and 71 private organizations met in Washington, D.C. Their purpose was to provide guidance based on Army and Navy procedures relating to display and associated questions about the U.S. flag.

President Warren G. Harding, in addressing the conference, said, “I hope that you will succeed in formulating a code that will be welcomed by all Americans, and that every patriotic and educational society in the Republic will commit itself to the endorsement and observance and purposes of the code that you adopt here today.”

The resulting National Flag Code was adopted by all organizations in attendance, although it had no official government sanction. Nevertheless, it represented the authoritative opinion of the principal patriotic bodies of the nation, both civilian and military. Over time, the National Flag Code became widely accepted. However, it was not until 1942 that Congress passed a joint resolution on the subject and made it the law of our land.

Promotion of respect for the flag and knowledge about it is required in most states, usually through flag exercises, programs, or instruction. However, in 1943, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in the case of West Virginia State Board of Education v. Barnette et al. that it is unconstitutional for state boards of education or local school boards to make the flag salute compulsory.

Flag Etiquette

The fundamental rule of flag etiquette is: treat the Stars and Stripes with respect and common sense.

The flag is flown at full-staff to indicate joy — the joy of being American. It is flown at half-staff to indicate mourning. In either case, it should always be aloft and free. It should be hoisted briskly and lowered ceremoniously. When raising the flag to half-staff, raise it to the top of the flagpole for a moment before lowering it. When taking it down for the night, raise it to the top of the flagpole again and then lower it to the bottom.

The flag should never be dipped to any person or thing, nor should it ever be displayed with the union down except as a signal of dire distress. When lowered, it should be received by waiting hands and arms, and should not touch the ground.

The flag should be flown daily from sunrise to sunset in good weather from public buildings, schools, permanent staffs in the open, and near polling places on election days. An all-weather flag may also be flown in bad weather. When a patriotic effect is desired, the flag may be displayed 24 hours a day if properly illuminated during the hours of darkness.

The flag should always be flown on national and state holidays and on those occasions proclaimed by the president. On Memorial Day, the flag should be displayed at half-staff until noon.

To store the flag, ceremoniously fold it lengthwise in half, then repeat with the blue field on the outside. Finally, while one person holds it by the blue field, another then makes a triangular fold in the opposite end, continuing to fold it in triangles until only the blue field shows.

The flag should never be used for advertising purposes in any manner whatsoever, nor should any picture, drawing, insignia, or other decoration be placed upon or attached to the flag, its staff, or halyard. The flag should not be embroidered on personal items nor printed on anything designed for temporary use and then discarded.

No flag or pennant may be flown above the flag or, if on the same level, to the right of the flag, except during church services conducted by naval chaplains at sea, when the church pennant may be flown above the flag during church services for the personnel of the Navy.

Never throw away a flag! When a flag is no longer of dignified appearance and cannot be repaired, or when a flag is so worn or soiled that it is no longer suitable for display, it should be destroyed in a dignified manner, preferably by burning. In military parlance, it is consigned to the flames in a brief ceremony.

The final flag etiquette lesson for readers is this: when the American flag passes by in a color guard, stop talking, stand at attention, and, when it is six paces away, cross your heart with your right hand until it is six paces past you. Men and boys should remove their hats. People in uniform should salute in the manner prescribed by their organization. If the flag is simply part of a float or is being carried in some way other than in a color guard, no action is necessary.

Although the flag of our nation has undergone many changes throughout our history, none of the earlier flags are considered to be obsolete. They are simply representative of an earlier era. They may be flown as “legal” and are entitled to the same respect as our current-day flag.

Happy Flag Day. - AND - Happy birthday Army.

Signs of the Times

h/t: Red for emailing this / inspiration.

Stimulis: Because all economies have performance issues

Are you an economy with performance issues?

If you find it hard to achieve and maintain growth, maybe Stimulis is right for you.

Take Stimulis once every election cycle or whenever you're in need of economic enhancement.

FreedomWorks just developed these Bailout Bucks. Print them. Cut them out. Share them with your friends.

All joking aside, Bailout Bucks may out-value the dollar soon enough.

Still Facing Depression and Hyperinflation (a must-read)

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Lazy Diplomacy

White House Photo by Pete Souza -- Time

Get your feet off of that desk!

Nothing says "I could care less what you think" more than this photo. Who was the unfortunate person on the other end of the call you ask? Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

And who was on this call? We can only guess...

"Hello, Honey?"

Traitor Adam Gadahn Speaks

The NEFA Foundation has obtained a transcript of a new video recording of most wanted American [traitor turned] Al-Qaida spokesman Adam Yehiye Gadahn, titled "Let's Continue our Jihad and Sacrifice."

During the video, produced by Al-Qaida's As-Sahab Media Foundation, Gadahn sharply criticized the Obama administration for its policies towards the Palestinians.

According to Gadahn, "The Obama administration is an old/new American administration led by a clique of Zionist Jews and Zionized Christians who respect in a believer neither kinship nor convenant...

So, patient Mujahid brothers in Palestine, continue your jihad and heroics against the ferocious Zio-Crusader assault on the lands of the Muslims... Zio-Crusader interests everywhere are legitimate targets for us... the Jewish enemy doesn't abstain from striking us wherever possible... So is it logical after that for us to abstain from striking their interests wherever possible?"

Adam Gadahn: "Let's Continue our Jihad and Sacrifice" [pdf]

Of course, our enemies have already uploaded the video to YouTube:

Video Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4

For further reading, I recommend this excellent (and hilarious) commentary from the Counterterrorism Blog -- Dear As-Sahab: Please Take Away Adam Gadahn's Microphone

North Korea's Nuclear Arms Program

By Jon Herskovitz, Editing by Sanjeev Miglani, Reuters

North Korea on Saturday threatened to reprocess more plutonium, weaponize is existing stockpile and start enriching uranium in response to being hit a day earlier with U.N. punishment for its nuclear test in May.

The following is a look at destitute North Korea's decades' long pursuit of nuclear arms:

THE YONGBYON FACILITIES

The Yongbyon complex is at the heart of the North's plutonium weapons programme. It consists of a five-megawatt reactor, whose construction began in 1980, a fuel fabrication facility and a plutonium reprocessing plant, where weapons-grade material is extracted from spent fuel rods. The site about 100 km (60 miles) north of Pyongyang also contains a 50-megawatt reactor whose construction was suspended under a 1994 nuclear deal with the United States. The reactor is nowhere near completion.

When fully operational, Yongbyon will be able to produce enough fissile material for one nuclear bomb a year, experts said.

NUCLEAR CAPABILITIES

U.S. officials said prior to the North's May 25 nuclear test it had produced about 50 kg (110 lb) of plutonium, which proliferation experts said would be enough for six to eight nuclear weapons. It could eventually extract enough material from spent fuel rods cooling at Yongbyon to make one more bomb.

NUCLEAR TESTING

Its first test in October 2006 produced a relatively low yield in its explosive force indicating problems with the North's bomb design or plutonium at its core, experts said. The May 25 test was stronger but experts believe it may only be about one-fifth to one-fourth as powerful as the plutonium bomb the U.S. dropped on the Japanese city of Nagasaki in 1945 at the end of World War Two.

NUCLEAR WEAPONS

Even though it has exploded nuclear devices, North Korea has not shown that it has a working nuclear bomb.

Experts said they do not believe the North has the ability to miniaturize an atomic weapon to place on a missile but the secretive state has been trying to develop such a warhead. It needs more nuclear testing to build one.

Even if it had, they say, North Korea does not appear to have the technology to guide the missile to a target.

North Korea's aging fleet of Soviet-era bomber would also have difficulty evading the technologically advanced air forces of regional powers the United States, South Korea and Japan to deliver a nuclear bomb outside the country.

URANIUM ENRICHMENT

The U.S. has long suspected that the North has a secret program to enrich uranium for weapons, giving it another path toward an atomic bomb.

Such a program can be conducted away from the prying eyes of U.S. spy satellites and the North can fuel it with the ample supplies of natural uranium it has in its territory.

Friday, June 12, 2009

"The Dark Pelosi" (With Waterboarding!)

"The Dark Pelosi" (With Waterboarding!)

Ahmadinejad Wins Election

Screen clipping from IRNA's web site.

IRNA, The Islamic Republic News Agency, reports that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has won the Iranian presidential election by "a majority of votes."

News Title: احمدي نژاد با کسب اکثريت آرا پيروز شد

English Translation: Ahmadinejad by a majority votes triumphed.

Persian Language Translation Program

The votes have already been counted?

It would seem that Ahmadinejad was indeed preordained the victor.

Iranian Election Riots 2009 [Raw Video]

Pocket Fishing Kit

Fishing Kit Part 2 Casting for Crappie

Time for some more serenity.

Love those birds... Gone fishing. - c

Fishing Kit - Improvments Testing

Thursday, June 11, 2009

Nuke 'em!

Click on map to enter simulation.

Ground Zero maps the effective ranges of known nuclear arms -- from the 15 kt "Little Boy" to the 140 kt "DF-31". You can even simulate an asteroid impact.

Go ahead. Nuke 'em!

Hint: When selecting Pyongyang, North Korea, as your target site, you'll need to zoom out to see land details. ;) - c

What If Israel Strikes Iran?

The mullahs would retaliate. But things would be much worse if they had the bomb.

By John R. Bolton for The Wall Street Journal

Whatever the outcome of Iran's presidential election tomorrow, negotiations will not soon -- if ever -- put an end to its nuclear threat. And given Iran's determination to achieve deliverable nuclear weapons, speculation about a possible Israeli attack on its nuclear program will not only persist but grow.

So what would such an attack look like? Obviously, Israel would need to consider many factors -- such as its timing and scope, Iran's increasing air defenses, the dispersion and hardening of its nuclear facilities, the potential international political costs, and Iran's "unpredictability." While not as menacingly irrational as North Korea, Iran's politico-military logic hardly compares to our NATO allies. Central to any Israeli decision is Iran's possible response.

Israel's alternative is that Iran's nuclear and ballistic missile programs reach fruition, leaving its very existence at the whim of its staunchest adversary. Israel has not previously accepted such risks. It destroyed Iraq's Osirak reactor in 1981 and a Syrian reactor being built by North Koreans in 2007. One major new element in Israel's calculus is the Obama administration's growing distance (especially in contrast to its predecessor).

Click map to enlarge.

Consider the most-often mentioned Iranian responses to a possible Israeli strike:

1) Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz. Often cited as Tehran's knee-jerk answer -- along with projections of astronomic oil-price spikes because of the disruption of supplies from Persian Gulf producers -- this option is neither feasible nor advisable for Iran. The U.S. would quickly overwhelm any effort to close the Strait, and Iran would be risking U.S. attacks on its land-based military. Direct military conflict with Washington would turn a bad situation for Iran -- disruption of its nuclear program -- into a potential catastrophe for the regime. Prudent hedging by oil traders and consuming countries (though not their strong suit, historically) would minimize any price spike.

2) Iran cuts its own oil exports to raise world prices. An Iranian embargo of its own oil exports would complete the ruin of Iran's domestic economy by depriving the country of hard currency. This is roughly equivalent to Thomas Jefferson's 1807 embargo on American exports to protect U.S. shipping from British and French interference. That harmed the U.S. far more than the Europeans. Even Iran's mullahs can see that. Another gambit with no legs.

3) Iran attacks U.S. forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. Some Tehran hard-liners might advocate this approach, or even attacks on U.S. bases or Arab targets in the Gulf -- but doing so would risk direct U.S. retaliation against Iran, as many U.S. commanders in Iraq earlier recommended. Increased violence in Iraq or Afghanistan might actually prolong the U.S. military presence in Iraq, despite President Barack Obama's current plans for withdrawal. Moreover, taking on the U.S. military, even in an initially limited way, carries enormous risks for Iran. Tehran may believe the Obama administration's generally apologetic international posture will protect it from U.S. escalation, but it would be highly dangerous for Iran to gamble on more weakness in the face of increased U.S. casualties in Iraq or Afghanistan.

4) Iran increases support for global terrorism. This Iranian option, especially stepping up world-wide attacks against U.S. targets, is always open. Assuming, however, that Mr. Obama does not further degrade our intelligence capabilities and that our watchfulness remains high, the terrorism option outside of the Middle East is extremely risky for Iran. If Washington uncovered evidence of direct or indirect Iranian terrorist activities in America, for example, even the Obama administration would have to consider direct retaliation inside Iran. While Iran enjoys rhetorical conflict with the U.S., operationally it prefers picking on targets its own size or smaller.

5) Iran launches missile attacks on Israel. Because all the foregoing options risk more direct U.S. involvement, Tehran will most likely decide to retaliate against the actual attacker, Israel. Using its missile and perhaps air force capabilities, Iran could do substantial damage in Israel, especially to civilian targets. Of course, one can only imagine what Iran might do once it has nuclear weapons, and this is part of the cost-benefit analysis Israel must make before launching attacks in the first place. Direct Iranian military action against Israel, however, would provoke an even broader Israeli counterstrike, which at some point might well involve Israel's own nuclear capability. Accordingly, Iran's Revolutionary Guards would have to think long and hard before unleashing its own capabilities against Israel.

6) Iran unleashes Hamas and Hezbollah against Israel. By process of elimination, but also because of strategic logic, Iran's most likely option is retaliating through Hamas and Hezbollah. Increased terrorist attacks inside Israel, military incursions by Hezbollah across the Blue Line, and, most significantly, salvoes of missiles from both Lebanon and the Gaza Strip are all possibilities. In plain violation of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701, Iran has not only completely re-equipped Hezbollah since the 2006 war with Israel, but the longer reach of Hezbollah's rockets now endangers Israel's entire civilian population. Moreover, Hamas's rocket capabilities could easily be substantially enhanced to provide greater range and payload to strike throughout Israel, creating a two-front challenge.

Risks to its civilian population will weigh heavily in any Israeli decision to use force, and might well argue for simultaneous, pre-emptive attacks on Hezbollah and Hamas in conjunction with a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Obviously, Israel will have to measure the current risks to its safety and survival against the longer-term threat to its very existence once Iran acquires nuclear weapons.

This brief survey demonstrates why Israel's military option against Iran's nuclear program is so unattractive, but also why failing to act is even worse. All these scenarios become infinitely more dangerous once Iran has deliverable nuclear weapons. So does daily life in Israel, elsewhere in the region and globally.

Many argue that Israeli military action will cause Iranians to rally in support of the mullahs' regime and plunge the region into political chaos. To the contrary, a strike accompanied by effective public diplomacy could well turn Iran's diverse population against an oppressive regime. Most of the Arab world's leaders would welcome Israel solving the Iran nuclear problem, although they certainly won't say so publicly and will rhetorically embrace Iran if Israel strikes. But rhetoric from its Arab neighbors is the only quantum of solace Iran will get.

On the other hand, the Obama administration's increased pressure on Israel concerning the "two-state solution" and West Bank settlements demonstrates Israel's growing distance from Washington. Although there is no profit now in complaining that Israel should have struck during the Bush years, the missed opportunity is palpable. For the remainder of Mr. Obama's term, uncertainty about his administration's support for Israel will continue to dog Israeli governments and complicate their calculations. Iran will see that as well, and play it for all it's worth. This is yet another reason why Israel's risks and dilemmas, difficult as they are, only increase with time. ###

Mr. Bolton, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, is the author of Surrender is Not an Option: Defending America at the United Nations and Abroad.

The Stand: A Pandemic Flu Horror Story

Artwork by Mike Perkins for The Stand: Captain Trips.

As I write this, the World Health Organization is conducting an emergency meeting. The topic?: Today's press release of their statement that the A/H1N1 "Swine Flu" has reached the full-blown pandemic level, stage 6.

What does that mean for you and me? Not much. So far, A/H1N1 is no more virulent than the common flu, though it does pose greater health dangers for those who are obese, have asthma, are a Native Inuit, and the list goes on.

Though I'm no health expert, I suspect that the list of those who are most at risk is similar to the list of those who are most affected by diabetes (of course, this is just my theory.) Another theory is that arsenic levels in drinking water may lower immune systems of otherwise healthy individuals, also putting them on the danger list for serious infection.

Regardless, for the majority of the world's population, the best advice with regard to this current pandemic is: wash your hands often with soap and water, avoid touching your eyes and mouth, cover your coughs and sneezes (with your elbow,) avoid crowds and stay home if you're sick.

Warnings finished, it is now time to scare the pants off of you -- with a book.

There are times when one needs to look past the personal views of an author in order to relish a truly great work. This is one of those times. The author is Stephen King and the novel is The Stand. It is to a pandemic flu what Jawswas to swimming in the ocean.

All religious and supernatural elements aside, King's novel paints a hauntingly realistic view of the life a few survivors are left to in a world decimated by a virulent flu pandemic. If you're not afraid of the flu now, you will be when you finish The Stand. It remains one of my favorite pool-side / vacation reads. - c

~

The Stand is divided into three parts, or books. The first is titled "Captain Trips" and takes place over nineteen days, with the escape and spread of a human-made biological weapon, a superflu (influenza) virus known formally as "Project Blue" and colloquially as "Captain Trips." The epidemic leads to the death of most of the human population in North America (and the world: it is hinted that General Starkey’s men had released the virus in eastern Europe, China, and the Soviet Union; and Peru and Senegal are mentioned in discussion of post-epidemic deaths due to natural causes).

99.4% of people are susceptible to Captain Trips, and the disease has a mortality rate of 100%. King outlines the total breakdown and destruction of society through widespread violence, the failure of martial law to contain the outbreak, and eventually the death of virtually the entire population. The human toll is also dealt with, as the few survivors must care for their families and friends, dealing with confusion and grief as their loved ones ultimately succumb to the flu, which has inexplicably spared them.

The expanded edition of the novel opens with a prologue titled "The Circle Opens" that offers greater detail into the circumstances surrounding the development of the virus and the security breach that allowed its escape from the secret laboratory compound where it was created. -- Wikipedia

~

The Stand: Captain Trips is a five-issue comic book miniseries, the first of six The Stand series by Marvel Comics, adapting Stephen King's novel of the same name.

"Captain Trips", a viral biological weapon that obliterates a significant portion of the world's human population. Artwork by Mike Perkins.

Issue 1: On a secret army base in the Californian desert, something has gone horribly, terribly wrong. Something that will send Charlie Campion and his wife and daughter fleeing in the middle of the night. Unfortunately for the Campion family - and the rest of America - they are unaware that all three of them are carrying a deadly cargo: A virus that will spread from person to person like wildfire, triggering a massive wave of disease and death, prefacing humanity's last stand!

Issue 2: The story continues in this issue as the unseen killer, the super-flu Captain Trips, spreads a tide of disease and death across the entire country. Meanwhile, in Atlanta, in the Center for Disease Control, the US government has taken a keen interest in Stuart Redman, who seems to be the only person immune to the Captain Trips infection. They are determined to find out why - with or without Stu's cooperation. And what do the recurring nightmares Stu's been having - about a dark man with red eyes standing in a cornfield - mean? Plus: Frannie Goldsmith and her father! Larry Underwood in New York! And Nick Andros takes a wrong turn in Shoyo, Arkansas!

Issue 3: As the superflu known as "Captain Trips" continues to spread across America, the lives of poor souls such as Larry Underwood and Frannie Goldsmith can't help but be affected by it. And as the media begins to catch wind of rumors about chemical warfare and bubonic plague, the actions of the American government begin to devolve, local and global legal systems start to deteriorate, and two wild and crazy outlaws - Lloyd Henreid and Poke Freeman - decide to take advantage of the situation, wreaking a path of destruction through the American southwest.

Issue 4: For Larry Underwood, Nick Andros, and Frannie Goldsmith, the deadly superflu has immediate - and devastating - consequences, striking down people near and dear to their hearts. Meanwhile, outlaw Lloyd Henreid gets some grim news from his attorney and General Starkey is relieved of his duties - in the most definitive way possible. And somewhere far away, but getting closer, the Walkin' Dude is making his presence known...

Issue 5: The violently contagious superflu Captain Trips has now encompassed the entire country in its deadly embrace and there’s no turning back. America is rapidly becoming a country of the sick, the dead, the damned. Against that ever-darkening backdrop, Randall Flagg, the Walking Dude, the Dark Man, at long last saunters onto the scene. Abandon hope all ye who enter here...

~

Whichever edition you wind up with, I'm sure you will enjoy. Have a safe and flu-free summer. ;) - c

UPDATE: Swine flu pandemic declared by World Health Organization

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Lynyrd Skynyrd - Simple Man [Live]

Lynyrd Skynyrd - Simple Man

Mama told me when I was young
Come sit beside me, my only son
And listen closely to what I say
And if you do this
It'll help you some sunny day

Oh, take your time... don't live too fast
Troubles will come and they will pass
Go find a woman, oh baby, you'll find love
And don't forget son
There is someone up above

And be a simple kind of man
Be something you love and understand
Baby, be a simple, kind of man
Oh, won't you do this for me son
If you can?


Forget your lust for the rich man's gold
All that you need, is in your soul
And you can do this, oh baby, if you try
All that I want for you my son
Is to be satisfied

(Chorus)

Boy, don't you worry... you'll find yourself
Follow your heart, lord, and nothing else
And you can do this, oh baby, if you try
All that I want for you my son
Is to be satisfied

(Chorus)

Gay Pride Month?!

Excerpt from Obama's Proclamation of Gay Pride Month

By Jack Kenney for The New American

This entire month has been dedicated to the lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender community. So dedicated by whom, you ask? Why, by the president of the United States in an official White House proclamation. June is officially "Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, and Transgender Pride Month" in America. How you observe or even celebrate it is up to you, even though this sort of thing was still against the law not too many years ago.

It is still against natural law, but how many lobbyists does natural law have? President Bill Clinton may have practiced sexual perversion in the White House, depending on the meaning of “perversion” and “practice,” “sex,” and even “is.” But it has taken Barack Obama to officially celebrate it.

Where will this end? Shall there by a Necrophilia Pride Month? A Misogynist Pride Month? A Bestiality Pride Month? An Incest Pride Month? A Pedophilia Pride Month? Don’t laugh. Have you ever seen a Gay Pride Parade that did not include conspicuous participation by the North American Man/Boy Love Association (NAMBLA)?

The anniversary of D-Day falls in June and that gets a one-day observance. So does Flag Day. So does Father’s Day. So do Memorial Day in May and Independence Day in July. But we are supposed to take pride in the LGBT “community” for an entire month. It’s not enough to go “gay” for a day.

As a group, aptly named “The Kinks,” used to sing…

“Girls will be boys and boys will be girls
It’s a mixed up, muddled up, shook up world.”

Barack Obama intends to make it even more so.

Have a Beautiful Evening

"Beautiful Night" - Photo by David88lins

"It is a Beauteous Evening, Calm and Free"

It is a beauteous evening, calm and free,
The holy time is quiet as a Nun
Breathless with adoration; the broad sun
Is sinking down in its tranquility;
The gentleness of heaven broods o'er the Sea;
Listen! the mighty Being is awake,
And doth with his eternal motion make
A sound like thunder - everlastingly.
Dear child! dear Girl! that walkest with me here,
If thou appear untouched by solemn thought,
Thy nature is not therefore less divine:
Thou liest in Abraham's bosom all the year;
And worshipp'st at the Temple's inner shrine,
God being with thee when we know it not.

-- William Wordsworth

Muslim Terrorists May Be Responsible for Downed Plane

Terror Names Linked To Doomed Flight AF 447

By Peter Allen, SKY News

Two passengers with names linked to Islamic terrorism were on the Air France flight which crashed with the loss of 228 lives, it has emerged.

French secret servicemen established the connection while working through the list of those who boarded the doomed Airbus in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on May 31.

Flight AF 447 crashed in the mid-Atlantic en route to Paris during a violent storm.

While it is certain there were computer malfunctions, terrorism has not been ruled out.

Soon after news of the fatal crash broke, agents working for the DGSE (Direction Générale de la Sécurité Extérieure), the French equivalent of MI6, were dispatched to Brazil.

It was there that they established that two names on the passenger list are also on highly-classified documents listing the names of radical Muslims considered a threat to the French Republic.

A source working for the French security services told Paris weekly L'Express that the link was "highly significant".

Agents are now trying to establish dates of birth for the two dead passengers, and family connections.

There is a possibility the name similarities are simply a "macabre coincidence", the source added, but the revelation is still being "taken very seriously".

France has received numerous threats from Islamic terrorist groups in recent months, especially since French troops were sent to fight in Afghanistan.

Security chiefs have been particularly worried about airborne suicide attacks similar to the ones on the US on September 11, 2001.

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

Jon Voight: "This False Prophet Obama"

Jon Voight: "This False Prophet Obama"

I guess we're gathered here today to talk about ideas, positive inroads we can make to gain back our power, to become triumphant in the next election.

We certainly know that the Democratic party thinks our voices have been silenced. They boast that they're the winners and we have nothing to say.

Well, we certainly know how they won. Obama's path to the presidency has been thoroughly documented. We may want to look at some of those strategies as we build toward the 2010 elections.

Certainly, at the outset, the Democrats fulfilled their mission to paint President Bush as a warmonger. And once they were able to reach all the youth and colleges on the Internet with this lie -- painting him as the evil one, never giving him credit for keeping our country safe -- once they established that, then it would be easy to bring in "The One", as Oprah Winfrey crowned him.

I'm also ashamed to say the Hollywood crowd was a big part of the tearing down of President Bush and they had a great influence in bringing in Obama as well.

Never mind that it was as clear as the nose on your face who Obama was attached to. Nothing seemed to matter. It was amazing to me how the media and the young generation were taken in by Obama's false haloistic [sic] presence and all his attachments to all the wrong people -- Ayers, Wright, Pfleger, Alinsky -- didn't matter one iota.

Obama, as a candidate, portrayed himself as a moderate but turned out to be wildly radical. The way he played his deception was interesting but his campaign was meticulously thought-through, well-organized in their techniques of outreach to gather support and funds through the Internet were innovative, and their Hollywood savvy and use of media was masterful.

All their strategies should be carefully looked at to see if we might mimic them in a positive, legal way.

My most pressing concern at this hour is the safety of Israel.

I think Obama has no idea that Israel was built on the blood and sweat of the Jewish people. Every blade of grass, every tree, has been a successful effort because of the Jewish people understanding they would have a safe homeland forever.

He could not possibly understand this or he would know that the Jewish people have tried time and time again to give the Palestinians land and bring a peaceful solution. But every attempt, every attempt, was returned with violence. The Palestinians used Gaza to attack Israel.

As far as I'm concerned, their only agenda is to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth and he reprimands the Israeli people, Obama, like he's a professor and they're the schoolchildren.

I was embarrassed to watch his press conference with the great war hero, Benjamin Netanyahu, who has helped keep his country safe for many years. Obama sat there with complete arrogance that he is now the new American power, able to dictate what he thinks is best for Israel.

So, how worried are we supposed to be now?

Was I hearing things when he said that Iran might have the right to nuclear power? Are we supposed to be sitting and waiting, watching for the possibility of a new Holocaust? Who's going to take the responsibility to keep America / Israel safe?

I'll tell you why this really scares me because everything Obama has recommended has turned out to be disastrous.

This so-called stimulus package and his budgets will leave our grandchildren with great burdens and great debts. The government is now owning car companies and banks and we're losing job after job. Our unemployment rate is an astronomic 9.4% and, of course, they send out Joe Biden, one of the great double-talkers of our time, to tell us the unemployment rate is getting better.

The government wants to run health care and tell people what doctors they can see, how much they can make, what cars to drive, and they're killing off the entrepreneurs who are the backbone of our economy.

It's no wonder that the Russian newspaper, Pravda, the former house-organ for the former Soviet communist regime, recently said, "the American descent into Marxism is happening with breath-taking speed."

We can blame Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, Chris Dodd, George Soros, David Axelrod and their ilk for the downfall of this country.

It saddens me greatly to think we were the great power for good in the world. We, as Americans, knew America to be strong, and we were the liberators of the entire world.

We are becoming a weak nation.

Obama really thinks he is a soft-spoken Julius Ceasar. He thinks he's going to conquer the world with his soft-spoken sweet talk and really thinks he's going to bring all the enemies of the world into a little playground where they'll swing each other back and forth.

We, and we alone, are the right frame of mind to free this nation from this "Obama oppression."

And let's give thanks to all the great people like Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh, Bill O’Reilly, Laura Ingraham, Mark Levin, William Bennett, Glenn Beck, Hugh Hewitt, Dennis Prager, Michael Medved, Dennis Miller, Dick Morris, Ann Coulter, John Kasich, Michael Steele, Karl Rove, Newt Gingrich, Thomas Sowell, Victor Davis Hanson, Shelby Steele, Charles Krathhauer, Michelle Malkin, Fred Barnes and so many others.

Let's give thanks to them for not giving up and staying the course to bring an end to this false prophet, Obama.

Encore!

Gingrich / Voight 2012 ? ;) - c

USS Montana

USS Montana

US warship gets stroppy... old joke but a goodie.

Nuclear Nightmare: Understanding North Korea

The Doomsday Clock is counting down and North Korea could push it closer to midnight.

The shadow of nuclear Armageddon, international intrigue and high-stakes military strategy have brought the world face-to-face with the unimaginable.

Meet Kim Jong II, leader of North Korea, a nation imprisoned by poverty and with a population so hungry, people eat bugs and grass. Now this megalomaniacal dictator is holding the civilized world hostage with what many see as a cunning strategy of extortion, threatening to use its arsenal of nuclear weapons. It's a strategy by which the United States has indicated it cannot abide.

In a joint production between the Discovery Channel and the New York Times, go behind the headlines to discover the little-understood origins and almost-stranger-than-truth facets of this dangerous confrontation. See a side of Kim Jong Il rarely revealed -- his love of slasher flicks and his affinity for prostitutes -- and learn why the United States may have no other palatable option than to play ball with Kim, allowing him to continue his weapons development program.

It's quite literally a race against time -- if North Korea, as it promises, uses its nuclear weapons in a "merciless offensive" -- it could to give birth to World War III or even a nuclear Armageddon. It's a game of international intrigue and high-stakes military strategy. But more importantly, it's the story of destitute North Korea and its bizarre leader, and how he has brought the U.S. and the world to this point in time -- five minutes until doomsday.

North Korea: Nuclear Nightmare - part 1

North Korea: Nuclear Nightmare - part 2

North Korea: Nuclear Nightmare - part 3

North Korea: Nuclear Nightmare - part 4

North Korea: Nuclear Nightmare - part 5

~ ~ ~

"Although September 11 was horrible, it didn't threaten the survival of the human race, like nuclear weapons do." -- Stephen Hawking

Monday, June 8, 2009

Alanis Morissette - Ironic

Alanis Morissette - Ironic

An old man turned ninety-eight
He won the lottery and died the next day
It's a black fly in your Chardonnay
It's a death row pardon two minutes too late
Isn't it ironic ... don't you think

It's like rain on your wedding day
It's a free ride when you've already paid
It's the good advice that you just didn't take
Who would've thought ... it figures


Mr. Play It Safe was afraid to fly
He packed his suitcase and kissed his kids good-bye
He waited his whole damn life to take that flight
And as the plane crashed down he thought
'Well isn't this nice...'
And isn't it ironic ... don't you think

[chorus]

Well life has a funny way of sneaking up on you
When you think everything's okay and everything's going right
And life has a funny way of helping you out when
You think everything's gone wrong and everything blows up
In your face

It's a traffic jam when you're already late
It's a no-smoking sign on your cigarette break
It's like ten thousand spoons when all you need is a knife
It's meeting the man of my dreams
And then meeting his beautiful wife
And isn't it ironic... don't you think
A little too ironic... and yeah I really do think...

[chorus]

Life has a funny way of sneaking up on you
Life has a funny, funny way of helping you out
Helping you out

Consequences of Catastrophe

I know that lately I've been the black fly in everyone's Chardonnay by continually posting stories about disease, disaster and dastardly countries who want to destroy America. If that turns anyone off, I'm sorry -- not because I've offended but, because I've failed to properly stress the importance of having a personal plan to protect yourself and your family. So, let me make this crystal clear -- do not delegate that responsibility to federal, state and local governments who are woefully unprepared -- and admit it.

From an article by David Wood:

U.S. military forces are poorly equipped and untrained to face nuclear-armed opponents such as North Korea who are seeking to neutralize American military superiority [and will be ready to launch their long-range missile this weekend] -- much as insurgents did with IEDs in Iraq.

Defense Department experts say soldiers and Marines haven't been equipped or trained to fight in a nuclear-contaminated environment since the Cold War ended a generation ago. Aircraft carriers, warplanes and military command and communications networks are insufficiently hardened against the electromagnetic pulse (EMP) generated by a nuclear blast that can burn out electronics systems.

The following excerpts [examples of the govt's unpreparedness] are from: Report of the Defense Science Board 2007 Summer Study: Challenges to Military Operations in Support of U.S. Interests (pdf 10MB)

A woman picks through the debris of her house destroyed by hurricane Katrina.

Disasters brought about by enemy action in the homeland cannot be precisely predicted, although conditions leading up to them may be generally evident. In any event, surprise should be an expected element of an attack(s). Dealing with the consequences of the attack(s) will have as much or more to do with addressing common issues as with the specific nature or cause or an attack. Planners should anticipate the breakdown of orderly society, manifested by:

  • failure of critical infrastructure - lack of goods and services (see first table below)
  • insufficient professional resources to deal with multiple catastrophes - response forces (Federal Bureau of Investigation, National Guard, DOD, DHS, police, fire, American Red Cross, and others) sized to handle only one or two crises at a time
  • national will hard to focus - public anger manifested through misguided, vigilante-style attacks
  • impaired ability of national, state, and local governments to govern - lack of, or confusing, communications; fractured local authority; insufficient, disorganized emergency response

Examples of Consequences of Attacks on the Infrastructure.

Without adequate preparedness at all levels of government, across the private sector, and among the populace, the post-attack results could indeed become catastrophic. Some outcomes might include:

  • Flight. Remaining in place would prove untenable for many people for actual or perceived reasons.
  • Breakdown of mutual aid agreements. Resource-intensive incidents are typically handled through mutual aid agreements within the National Guard, first responder, and medical communities. When under attack, however, leaders in unaffected regions might opt not to support interregional common aid agreements and to conserve their resources in case they are needed locally.
  • Breakdown of civil order. Looting, vigilante actions, gang violence, riots, and civil disobedience would further stress first responders.
  • Failure of quarantine. Many will be reluctant to stay confined.
  • Hoarding. People will rush to amass excess goods to stock up after the attack.
  • "Shoot your neighbor." As people perceive the social and civil situation deteriorating, they will escalate the force they use as a first resort to protect home and family from interlopers ("shoot first, ask questions later").
  • Rampant rumors. Medial will promulgate messages from many sources without confirmation. [i.e. Twitter]
  • Population center "meltdowns." Many U.S. population centers are located where life without infrastructure services will be difficult to sustain, such as in the desert southwest in summer and northern cities in winter.

Responses will be further exacerbated because of the evolution of U.S. society. Dependence on "just-in-time" centrally managed, networked supplies of water, power, food, communications, and transportation leaves the United States extremely vulnerable to an effects-based attack. Additionally, over time, mobility of the American population has resulted in a breakdown of extended family and community-based societal structures that once provided informal local leadership and community organization and support. In twenty-first century society, many do not know their neighbors, let alone have the capability or capacity to form effective support networks for long periods of time. Skepticism of authority makes governance in a disaster difficult, while the public nevertheless expects governmental assistance to mitigate the aftermath.

Size Indicators of Some Critical Infrastructure and Key Assets.

With the current preparedness system and [disaster] exercise program, the involved agencies at all levels of government unfortunately end up training on real world events. The history of major disasters shows the same lessons observed, over and over again.

Learning from these lessons is much less evident. During each new event solutions found earlier are often re-invented. When asked about specific threats and exercises, a representative of the International Association of Fire Chiefs indicated little training to address enemy attacks on the homeland, but "I'm sure if it happens, we'll find a way to get it done." ###

Remind you of anyone?...

Time to fish that fly out and drink up. This one's on me. - c

Sunday, June 7, 2009

First Pitch: 2012

Todd and Sarah Palin hang out with Rudy Giuliani and his wife Judith Nathan at Yankee Stadium. -- New York Post

Giuliani / Palin 2012

Just throwin' it out there... ;) - c

Be Fast

Source: Gulf Daily News

Wondering what the Arabs are thinking...

The Spy In Your Hand

Don't talk: your cell phone may be eavesdropping. Thanks to recent developments in "spy phone" software, a do-it-yourself spook can now wirelessly transfer a wiretapping program to any mobile phone. The programs are inexpensive, and the transfer requires no special skill. The would-be spy needs to get his hands on your phone to press keys authorizing the download, but it takes just a few minutes—about the time needed to download a ringtone.

This new generation of -user-friendly spy-phone software has become widely available in the last year—and it confers stunning powers. The latest programs can silently turn on handset microphones even when no call is being made, allowing a spy to listen to voices in a room halfway around the world. Targets are none the wiser: neither call logs nor phone bills show records of the secretly transmitted data.

More than 200 companies sell spy-phone software online, at prices as low as $50 (a few programs cost more than $300). Vendors are loath to release sales figures. But some experts—private investigators and consultants in counter-wiretapping, computer-security software and telecommunications market research—claim that a surprising number of people carry a mobile that has been compromised, usually by a spouse, lover, parent or co-worker. Many employees, experts say, hope to discover a supervisor's dishonest dealings and tip off the top boss anonymously. Max Maiellaro, head of Agata Christie Investigation, a private-investigation firm in Milan, estimates that 3 percent of mobiles in France and Germany are tapped, and about 5 percent or so in Greece, Italy, Romania and Spain. James Atkinson, a spy-phone expert at Granite Island Group, a security consultancy in Gloucester, Massachusetts, puts the number of tapped phones in the U.S. at 3 percent. (These approximations do not take into account government wiretapping.) Even if these numbers are inflated, clearly many otherwise law-abiding citizens are willing to break wiretapping laws.

Spyware thrives on iPhones, BlackBerrys and other smart phones because they have ample processing power. In the United States, the spread of GSM networks, which are more vulnerable than older technologies, has also enlarged the pool of potential victims. Spyware being developed for law-enforcement agencies will accompany a text message and automatically install itself in the victim's phone when the message is opened, according to an Italian developer who declined to be identified. One worry is that the software will find its way into the hands of criminals.

The current predicament is partly the result of decisions by Apple, Microsoft and Research In Motion (producer of the BlackBerry) to open their phones to outside application-software developers, which created the opening for spyware. Antivirus and security programs developed for computers require too much processing power, even for smart phones. Although security programs are available for phones, by and large users haven't given the threat much thought. If the spying keeps spreading, that may change soon. -- Newsweek

Lee’s Resolution

On this day in 1776, Richard Henry Lee of Virginia introduces a resolution for independence to the Continental Congress in Philadelphia; John Adams seconds the motion.

Lee’s resolution declared: “That these United Colonies are, and of right out to be, free and independent States, that they are absolved from all allegiance to the British Crown, and that all political connection between them and the State of Great Britain is, and ought to be, totally dissolved; that measures should be immediately taken for procuring the assistance of foreign powers, and a Confederation be formed to bind the colonies more closely together.”

During the ensuing debates, it became clear that New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware, Maryland and South Carolina were as yet unwilling to declare independence, but would likely be ready to vote in favor of a break with England in due course. Thus, Congress agreed to delay the vote on Lee’s Resolution until July 1. In the intervening period, Congress appointed a committee to draft a formal declaration of independence. Its members were John Adams of Massachusetts, Benjamin Franklin of Pennsylvania, Roger Sherman of Connecticut, Robert R. Livingston of New York and Thomas Jefferson of Virginia. Thomas Jefferson, well-known to be the best writer of the group, was selected to be the primary author of the document, which was presented to Congress for review on June 28, 1776.

Original draft of the Declaration of Independence. Click to enlarge.

On July 1, 1776, debate on the Lee Resolution resumed as planned, with a majority of the delegates favoring the resolution. Congress thought it of the utmost importance that independence be unanimously proclaimed. To ensure this, they delayed the final vote until July 2, when 12 colonial delegations voted in favor of it, with the New York delegates [ever liberal] abstaining, unsure of how their constituents would wish them to vote.

John Adams wrote that July 2 would be celebrated as “the most memorable epoch in the history of America.” Instead, the day has been largely forgotten in favor of July 4, when Jefferson’s edited Declaration of Independence was adopted. [Save for Revolutionary scholars, June 7, the date of Lee's resolution, remains all but lost to history.] -- History

Of this momentous occasion Benjamin Franklin said,

"We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately."

Saturday, June 6, 2009

Pentagon War Games Predict Future Threats

By Anna Mulrine for U.S. News & World Report

The military's big thinkers plan for future needs by predicting potential security threats

By the Pentagon's reckoning, the world in 2018 will be a grim place, with a considerable array of tricky national security threats facing the U.S. military. Multinational corporations, employing increasingly thuggish private security forces, begin to undermine the traditional power of nation-states. Countries vie for scarce natural resources, leading to armed conflict. In the meantime, North Korea launches a southern invasion, disguising two Army corps as groups of refugees fleeing across the border.

At the pastoral Pennsylvania campus of the Army War College, an ominous voiceover lays out scenarios devised by the country's top war-gamers during a mock news show. And over the course of a week in May, some 390 of the military's big thinkers, along with university professors, retired generals, and officers from allied nations, tried to solve them. In so doing, war-gamers help the Pentagon pinpoint holes in its planning and preparation for future wars.

The scenarios take place in classrooms, without the electronic game boards that accompany many of the higher-tech war games. Known as Unified Quest, the game is played by teams, which chart out their moves and debate the consequences. "It is designed as an intellectual exercise," says Col. Skip Lewis, chief of the future warfare division at the Training and Doctrine Command in Norfolk, Va. That said, he adds, "it gets very intense."

Part of that intensity is the time frame; the game spans seven fictional years. It also includes challenges to homeland defense, one of the rare instances in this war game in which the Pentagon has faced threats on its home soil, according to U.S. officials. The scenario is menacing: Increasingly powerful gangs financed by Russia are arriving in Texas from training camps in Mexico. To the south, Venezuela continues to be a thorn in America's side, a nemesis, as the foreboding news narrator describes it, in a "historical ideological contest between left and right, funded by Venezuelan oil."

Matthew Broderick and Ally Sheedy in the 1983 film, War Games.

In the fictional situation, "Bolivia requested our help, and obviously Venezuela isn't happy with that scenario," explains Lt. Col. Paul Coyle, chief of the war-gaming branch for TRADOC in Norfolk. In retaliation, and "to make the U.S. government appear inept," Venezuela then launches a cyberattack on U.S. oil distribution networks, causing domestic gas prices to soar.

While U.S. officials stress that the scenarios are a purely fictional study in war, the goal is to "make a grounded projection into the future," says Col. H. R. McMaster, director of concept development and experimentation for the command. "Certainly, you could argue that they are all plausible scenarios," designed to determine "What are the implications for us?"

That was the question of the week, and the answer will help Gen. George Casey, the Army chief of staff, figure out what the Pentagon needs to take on future threats. Peacekeeping skills will be crucial, U.S. officials say, to help mediate increased and ever-more-violent competition for resources. Better dexterity in repelling cyberwarfare attacks will also be key.

This year the games "really stressed us," says McMaster. The almost comical array of threats also gave rise to a running joke, he adds: "We were all asking, 'When does the asteroid hit?' "

Germany warns of pre-election Islamist attack

Al Qaeda is planning a major attack on Germans before September's election to wreak revenge for the deployment of troops in Afghanistan, a German magazine cited security officials as saying on Saturday. Der Spiegel said German intelligence officials and the Federal Crime Office believed German firms based in Algeria and German citizens in northern Africa were in particular danger.

The officials also warned of attacks in Germany. The new assessment is largely due to a warning from the U.S. government, believed to be based on information from al Qaeda in the Afghanistan-Pakistan border region, said the weekly.

A spokesman for the Interior Ministry declined to comment on the report of a fresh threat. In recent months, however, officials have repeatedly warned that Germany is a likely target for Islamist militants.

As a result of the new information, Germany's Federal Crime Office has issued a new assessment of the security situation to authorities in each of Germany's 16 federal states.

Unlike other European countries such as Britain or Spain, Germany has not experienced a major attack on its home soil in recent years.

Der Spiegel said al Qaeda's aim was to end Germany's military activities in Afghanistan which is already unpopular with the German public.

Germany has a parliamentary mandate to send 4,500 soldiers to Afghanistan as part of a NATO-led force. -- Reporting by Madeline Chambers; Editing by Jon Hemming, Reuters

~ ~ ~

Now, whom do you suppose Germans will blame if they are attacked by Islamists?

h/t: Jihad Watch for article and Teak for emailing this photo.

D-Day 65th Anniversary Tribute

D-Day 65th Anniversary: June 6th 1944

A small tribute to a generation of young men -- from the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Free France, Poland and Norway -- who gave their lives for our freedom.

~ ~ ~

True to form, Google once again ignores the memory of our fallen heroes, preferring instead to honor the 25th anniversary of a video game, Tetris. Disgusting.

IAEA: Iran amasses enough low-grade uranium for a single nuclear bomb

A report prepared by the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna estimates Iran has accumulated low-enriched uranium (1,339 kilos produced since November 2008 plus 839 kilos in stock) enough to convert into the quantity of high-enriched uranium needed for making a single nuclear bomb.

More than 7,000 uranium-enriching centrifuges were now installed at Natanz, 2,000 more than reported in February, the watchdog said.

Iran can be assumed to have amassed more fissile material than the agency has discovered. Its officials admit that their investigations are stymied both in Iran and Syria, where the IAEA reported Friday, June 5 that its inspectors had found new traces of man-made uranium.

The particles were found at a nuclear site in Syria, but the inspectors say their composition does not match the kind of uranium associated with that site and is therefore suspicious.

The nuclear watchdog confirms that Iran continues to expand uranium enrichment despite three UN Security Council resolutions banning the process and imposing sanctions. [Shocker.] -- DEBKAfile

Update: IAEA: Iran Has Centrifuges for Two Nuclear Weapons Per Year